Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Mark Dubel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.3291626    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 82.2)    11-13   
 402 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 78.4)     9- 5   
 403 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 84.6)     4- 7   
 419 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 89.8)    12-14   
 420 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.2)    11- 6   
 425 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 8, 82.1)     6-11   
 427 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 96.3)     5-18   
 501 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 81.1)    10- 4   
 503 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.3)     9-10   
 504 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 87.4)     7-12   
 507 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 96.8)     2-14   
 509 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 94.7)     5-16   
 510 H Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 6, 92.6)     4-14   
 511 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.1)     4-12   
 515 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)     2-14   
 517 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 81.1)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Niagara-Wheatfield     11-13      -2    -4    +      2.22
   402 H North Tonawanda         9- 5       4     1    +      2.16
   403 H East Aurora             4- 7      -3    -4           1.35
   419 H Williamsville South    12-14      -2    -9    +++    7.56
   420 H Lockport               11- 6       5     3           1.91
   425 A Sweet Home              6-11      -5    -4          -0.88
   427 A Lancaster, NY           5-18     -13   -18           0.00
   501 A Williamsville East     10- 4       6    -3    +++    9.13
   503 H West Seneca East        9-10      -1    -4    +      3.01
   504 A Clarence                7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.45
   507 A Frontier                2-14     -12   -18           0.00
   509 H Williamsville North     5-16     -11   -14           0.00
   510 H Amherst                 4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   511 H West Seneca West        4-12      -8    -9           1.78
   515 A Hamburg                 2-14     -12   -21           0.00
   517 A Williamsville East     11-14      -3    -3           0.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Williamsville South    12-14      -2    -9    +++    7.56
   501 A Williamsville East     10- 4       6    -3    +++    9.13
   504 A Clarence                7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.45
   331 A Niagara-Wheatfield     11-13      -2    -4    +      2.22
   402 H North Tonawanda         9- 5       4     1    +      2.16
   503 H West Seneca East        9-10      -1    -4    +      3.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.14 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.30 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/