Herndon                       3 - 9


 
                                     Region = VA    Cncrd            
   Nickname = A Hornets              Coach  =   Rick Cassara          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.7880859    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 77.1)    17-14   
 320 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 8- 9, 78.1)    12-13  o
 322 A Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 6- 8, 78.8)    11-15   
 328 A Yorktown, VA           VA    Natl    (12- 6, 84.3)     7-14   
 330 A Laney                  NC    C1      ( 8- 9, 74.2)    16- 8   
 413 H Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (13- 6, 81.9)    20-11   
 417 A Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   (11- 5, 92.4)     8-17   
 420 A Robinson Secondary     VA    Cncrd   ( 3-10, 83.4)     3-18   
 424 H Oakton                 VA    Cncrd   (18- 2, 99.9)     9-20   
 427 H Centreville            VA    Cncrd   (14- 3, 94.6)     4-17   
 501 H Chantilly              VA    Cncrd   ( 5- 9, 83.0)    10-18   
 504 A Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   (11- 5, 92.4)     4-19   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Broad Run              17-14       3     0    +      3.02
   320 H Washington-Lee         12-13  o   -1    -1           0.06
   322 A Falls Church           11-15      -4    -3          -0.12
   328 A Yorktown, VA            7-14      -7    -9    +      2.41
   330 A Laney                  16- 8       8     1          n/a  
   413 H Loudoun County         20-11       9    -4    +++   13.78
   417 A Westfield, VA           8-17      -9   -17           1.00
   420 A Robinson Secondary      3-18     -15    -8          -1.45
   424 H Oakton                  9-20     -11   -22           0.00
   427 H Centreville             4-17     -13   -17           0.00
   501 H Chantilly              10-18      -8    -5    -     -2.10
   504 A Westfield, VA           4-19     -15   -17           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Chantilly              10-18      -8    -5    -     -2.10


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Laney                  16- 8       8     1    +++        
   413 H Loudoun County         20-11       9    -4    +++   13.78
   315 H Broad Run              17-14       3     0    +      3.02
   328 A Yorktown, VA            7-14      -7    -9    +      2.41




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.99 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.65 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    61
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    72
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.0


  
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