Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Tom MacDonald         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7151184    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 77.7)     9-12   
 410 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.6)    16- 4   
 412 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   (12- 8, 83.3)    14-15  o
 417 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 4, 91.8)     6-16   
 420 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 73.5)    14- 8   
 426 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 77.7)    16-10   
 430 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (15- 4, 90.4)     7-17   
 430 A Manlius-Pebble Hill    NY C  Sec 3   ( 3-13, 70.2)    16- 8   
 503 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 8, 82.2)    11-16   
 507 H Manlius-Pebble Hill    NY C  Sec 3   ( 3-13, 70.2)    12- 6   
 508 H Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   (12- 8, 83.3)    17-13   
 510 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.6)    16-10   
 514 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.9)     4-23   
 516 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 73.5)    11- 7   
 522 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (15- 4, 90.4)     7-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Auburn                  9-12      -3     3    ---   -6.40
   410 H Rome Free Academy      16- 4      12    14           0.00
   412 A Oswego                 14-15  o   -1    -4    +      3.04
   417 H Baldwinsville           6-16     -10   -10           0.00
   420 A Central Square         14- 8       6     5           0.33
   426 A Auburn                 16-10       6     1    ++     4.45
   430 A Liverpool               7-17     -10   -11           0.00
   430 A Manlius-Pebble Hill    16- 8       8     9          -1.04
   503 H Cicero-North Syracuse  11-16      -5    -1    -     -3.92
   507 H Manlius-Pebble Hill    12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   508 H Oswego                 17-13       4    -2    +++    6.19
   510 A Rome Free Academy      16-10       6    12    --    -4.00
   514 H West Genesee            4-23     -19   -18           0.00
   516 H Central Square         11- 7       4     7    -     -3.53
   522 A Liverpool               7-20     -13   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Auburn                  9-12      -3     3    ---   -6.40
   507 H Manlius-Pebble Hill    12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   510 A Rome Free Academy      16-10       6    12    --    -4.00
   503 H Cicero-North Syracuse  11-16      -5    -1    -     -3.92
   516 H Central Square         11- 7       4     7    -     -3.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Oswego                 17-13       4    -2    +++    6.19
   426 A Auburn                 16-10       6     1    ++     4.45
   412 A Oswego                 14-15  o   -1    -4    +      3.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.15 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.52 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/