Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Myslinski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.9486160    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 4, 93.2)    10- 7   
 404 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 6, 92.6)     7- 1   
 417 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 94.7)     7- 8  o
 419 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 87.4)    14- 9   
 425 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 96.3)    10- 9 2o
 427 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)     4- 9   
 501 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 85.1)    11- 6   
 503 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 87.4)    11- 3   
 505 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.3)    14- 4   
 507 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 79.1)    14- 2   
 509 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 96.3)     9-10   
 510 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 82.2)    13- 2   
 514 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.1)    10- 6   
 515 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 85.1)    12- 3   
 517 A Nichols School         NY    Private ( 5- 7, 91.0)     9- 6   
 524 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 85.1)    14- 7   
 529 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 96.3)     4- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Lake Shore             10- 7       3     4          -1.75
   404 A Amherst                 7- 1       6     3    +      2.88
   417 H Williamsville North     7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.26
   419 A Clarence               14- 9       5     8    -     -3.26
   425 H Lancaster, NY          10- 9 2o    1     1          -0.70
   427 A Hamburg                 4- 9      -5    -4          -0.81
   501 A Orchard Park           11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   503 H Clarence               11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   505 A West Seneca East       14- 4      10    11           0.00
   507 H Iroquois               14- 2      12    18           0.00
   509 A Lancaster, NY           9-10      -1     0          -0.41
   510 A Niagara-Wheatfield     13- 2      11    13           0.00
   514 A West Seneca West       10- 6       4     5          -1.64
   515 H Orchard Park           12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   517 A Nichols School          9- 6       3     4          -1.70
   524 H Orchard Park           14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   529 N Lancaster, NY           4- 5      -1     0          -1.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Williamsville North     7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.26
   501 A Orchard Park           11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   419 A Clarence               14- 9       5     8    -     -3.26
   503 H Clarence               11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   524 H Orchard Park           14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Amherst                 7- 1       6     3    +      2.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.85 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.95 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   22.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.210.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/