Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Arsenal              Coach  =   Jennifer Payne        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   66.8939896    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA    NW AA   ( 1-12, 58.5)    11-13   
 319 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA    NW AA   ( 1-12, 58.5)   
 402 H Eastern View           VA    Indep   ( 6- 7, 68.8)     3-15   
 404 A E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 4- 8, 66.9)     9-15   
 410 A Eastern View           VA    Indep   ( 6- 7, 68.8)    10-21   
 417 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)     6-18   
 420 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)     5-20   
 424 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 75.7)     4-21   
 425 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 83.7)     5-16   
 430 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 83.7)     4-20   
 501 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)     4-19   
 503 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)     6-14   
 508 H E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 4- 8, 66.9)    17-18   
 511 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 75.7)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   11-13      -2     0          -1.98
   402 H Eastern View            3-15     -12   -10           0.00
   404 A E.C. Glass              9-15      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   410 A Eastern View           10-21     -11   -12           0.00
   417 A Charlottesville         6-18     -12   -12           0.00
   420 A Western Albemarle       5-20     -15   -26           0.00
   424 H Monticello, VA          4-21     -17   -17           0.00
   425 H Albemarle               5-16     -11   -25           0.00
   430 A Albemarle               4-20     -16   -27           0.00
   501 H Western Albemarle       4-19     -15   -24           0.00
   503 H Charlottesville         6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   508 H E.C. Glass             17-18      -1    -8    +++    7.43
   511 A Monticello, VA          4-17     -13   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H E.C. Glass             17-18      -1    -8    +++    7.43
   404 A E.C. Glass              9-15      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   503 H Charlottesville         6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 57.38 Local Power Rank...........   106
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.86 Local SOS Rank.............    64
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.34 Local RPI Rank.............   107
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   121
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   17.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/