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Region = CT Class M Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Pat SemancikGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.1875763 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Haddam-Killingworth CT Class S (15- 4, 84.0) 12-19 405 A Waterford, CT CT Class S ( 9- 7, 74.7) 18-16 410 A Woodstock Academy CT Class M ( 0-16, 59.0) 22- 3 412 H East Lyme CT Class M (18- 3, 89.7) 5-18 416 A Norwich Free Acad CT Class L ( 6-10, 71.0) 16- 5 419 H Bacon Academy CT Class M ( 4-11, 65.4) 16- 4 424 H Ledyard CT Class M (11- 7, 75.1) 11-12 426 A Wheeler, CT CT Class S ( 2-10, 65.3) 20-17 428 H Stonington CT Class S (12- 5, 77.8) 7- 8 503 H Woodstock Academy CT Class M ( 0-16, 59.0) 22- 4 507 A East Lyme CT Class M (18- 3, 89.7) 8-21 511 A Morgan School CT Class S ( 3-13, 65.2) 16- 9 515 A Bacon Academy CT Class M ( 4-11, 65.4) 13- 6 518 H Norwich Free Acad CT Class L ( 6-10, 71.0) 11-10 521 A Old Lyme CT Class S (10- 7, 76.7) 12-13 2o 522 N St. Bernard, CT CT Class S (10- 8, 74.9) 12-14 531 A New Fairfield CT Class M (13- 6, 86.9) 8-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Haddam-Killingworth 12-19 -7 -6 -0.07 405 A Waterford, CT 18-16 2 0 1.40 410 A Woodstock Academy 22- 3 19 16 0.00 412 H East Lyme 5-18 -13 -12 0.00 416 A Norwich Free Acad 16- 5 11 4 ++ 5.65 419 H Bacon Academy 16- 4 12 11 0.00 424 H Ledyard 11-12 -1 1 - -2.93 426 A Wheeler, CT 20-17 3 9 --- -6.99 428 H Stonington 7- 8 -1 0 -0.25 503 H Woodstock Academy 22- 4 18 18 0.00 507 A East Lyme 8-21 -13 -14 0.00 511 A Morgan School 16- 9 7 10 - -3.00 515 A Bacon Academy 13- 6 7 9 - -2.91 518 H Norwich Free Acad 11-10 1 6 -- -5.10 521 A Old Lyme 12-13 2o -1 -1 0.35 522 N St. Bernard, CT 12-14 -2 1 - -3.31 531 A New Fairfield 8-18 -10 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Wheeler, CT 20-17 3 9 --- -6.99 518 H Norwich Free Acad 11-10 1 6 -- -5.10 424 H Ledyard 11-12 -1 1 - -2.93 511 A Morgan School 16- 9 7 10 - -3.00 515 A Bacon Academy 13- 6 7 9 - -2.91 522 N St. Bernard, CT 12-14 -2 1 - -3.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Norwich Free Acad 16- 5 11 4 ++ 5.65/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.19 Local Power Rank........... 46 Local SOS Rating......... 47.91 Local SOS Rank............. 67 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 45 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 31 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 44 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3