Fairfax                       5 - 6


 
                                     Region = VA    Lbrty            
   Nickname = A Rebels               Coach  =   Rachel Shafer         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.6580963    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 2-11, 59.8)    21- 0   
 320 H Mt. Vernon             VA    Natl    ( 1-11, 62.5)    21- 6   
 326 H George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   (11- 5, 91.3)     5-10   
 328 A South Lakes            VA    Lbrty   ( 6- 6, 83.6)    12-17   
 404 A Tampa Catholic         FL    Dist 13 (12- 4, 79.2)    15-12   
 411 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 1-10, 62.8)    20- 3   
 416 A Langley                VA    Lbrty   (17- 4, 96.2)     5-16   
 418 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   VA    Lbrty   ( 4- 8, 80.2)    12-10   
 426 H James Madison, VA      VA    Lbrty   (15- 2, 97.4)     5-17   
 430 H McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 2- 9, 75.8)   
 502 A Stone Bridge           VA    Lbrty   (11- 6, 90.6)    14-17   
 504 A George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   (11- 5, 91.3)     5-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Wakefield HS, VA       21- 0      21    21           0.00
   320 H Mt. Vernon             21- 6      15    20           0.00
   326 H George C. Marshall      5-10      -5    -8    +      3.32
   328 A South Lakes            12-17      -5    -2    -     -2.17
   404 A Tampa Catholic         15-12       3     1          n/a  
   411 H J.E.B. Stuart          20- 3      17    20           0.00
   416 A Langley                 5-16     -11   -15           0.00
   418 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   12-10       2     2          -0.77
   426 H James Madison, VA       5-17     -12   -14           0.00
   502 A Stone Bridge           14-17      -3    -9    +++    6.81
   504 A George C. Marshall      5-17     -12   -10           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A South Lakes            12-17      -5    -2    -     -2.17


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Stone Bridge           14-17      -3    -9    +++    6.81
   326 H George C. Marshall      5-10      -5    -8    +      3.32




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.89 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.63 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0


  
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