Region = MA    No D2            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Julie Bevad           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.1378021    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Georgetown, MA         MA    No D2   ( 8-10, 74.1)    15- 3   
 410 H Peabody Veterans Mem.  MA    No D1   (11- 5, 81.4)    17-10   
 413 H Beverly                MA    No D1   (11- 7, 79.6)     8- 9   
 414 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (15- 6, 87.9)    13-21   
 418 A Marblehead             MA    No D2   (16- 5, 84.6)    14-15   
 420 A Newburyport            MA    No D2   (10- 5, 80.9)    13-11   
 424 H Swampscott             MA    No D2   ( 8-12, 72.4)    20-10   
 430 H Triton Regional, MA    MA    No D2   ( 1-16, 65.4)    12- 4   
 503 A Gloucester, MA         MA    No D1   ( 5-11, 70.4)    19- 7   
 507 H Salem, MA              MA    No D1   ( 5-12, 68.6)    20- 7   
 510 A Salem, MA              MA    No D1   ( 5-12, 68.6)    15- 6   
 512 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA    No D2   ( 9- 6, 79.3)    14-10   
 515 A Swampscott             MA    No D2   ( 8-12, 72.4)    18-10   
 516 A Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   ( 6- 9, 74.8)    14- 8   
 517 H Ipswich                MA    No D2   (16- 4, 87.4)    10-15   
 518 H Masconomet             MA    No D1   (16- 4, 87.6)     8- 9   
 521 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     MA    No D2   (12- 6, 79.2)    13-13   
 522 H Gloucester, MA         MA    No D1   ( 5-11, 70.4)    13-11   
 601 A Winchester             MA    No D2   (23- 2, 93.5)     1-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Georgetown, MA         15- 3      12     8           1.37
   410 H Peabody Veterans Mem.  17-10       7     1    ++     5.69
   413 H Beverly                 8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.13
   414 A North Andover          13-21      -8    -6          -1.59
   418 A Marblehead             14-15      -1    -3    +      2.06
   420 A Newburyport            13-11       2     0           1.41
   424 H Swampscott             20-10      10    10           0.00
   430 H Triton Regional, MA    12- 4       8    17    -     -2.00
   503 A Gloucester, MA         19- 7      12    11           0.00
   507 H Salem, MA              20- 7      13    14           0.00
   510 A Salem, MA              15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   512 H Hamilton-Wenham        14-10       4     3           0.60
   515 A Swampscott             18-10       8     9          -1.16
   516 A Pentucket Regional     14- 8       6     6          -0.70
   517 H Ipswich                10-15      -5    -4          -0.31
   518 H Masconomet              8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.87
   521 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     13-13       0     3    -     -3.51
   522 H Gloucester, MA         13-11       2    12    ---   -8.00
   601 A Winchester              1-19     -18   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Gloucester, MA         13-11       2    12    ---   -8.00
   413 H Beverly                 8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.13
   430 H Triton Regional, MA    12- 4       8    17    -     -2.00
   521 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     13-13       0     3    -     -3.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Peabody Veterans Mem.  17-10       7     1    ++     5.69
   418 A Marblehead             14-15      -1    -3    +      2.06
   518 H Masconomet              8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.13 Local Power Rank...........    42
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.40 Local SOS Rank.............    62
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    48
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/