Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Mustangs             Coach  =   Brent Ritz            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7053833    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   (13- 6, 90.6)    11-10  o
 323 A Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (18- 1, 99.9)     8-11   
 403 A John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 9, 83.0)    10- 9   
 405 N Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (13- 5, 89.1)    19-11   
 407 N Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 84.3)     9-11   
 409 H Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 7-13, 80.8)    17-12   
 412 A Fallston               MD    2A-1A   (14- 4, 92.5)    10- 6   
 417 H Bel Air                MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 8, 82.4)    20-11   
 419 A North East, Cecil      MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 9, 69.2)    20- 2   
 424 H Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   ( 7-11, 80.0)    19- 5   
 426 A North Harford          MD    3A-2A   (12- 5, 90.4)    12-11  o
 427 A Hereford               MD    3A-2A   (12- 4, 90.1)    15-16   
 430 H Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  (13- 4, 90.4)    10-16   
 502 H Aberdeen               MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 9, 71.4)    18- 1   
 507 N Harford Tech           MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 4, 77.6)    15- 1   
 511 H Edgewood               MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 6, 73.9)    21- 6   
 514 N North Harford          MD    3A-2A   (12- 5, 90.4)    10- 8   
 516 N Hereford               MD    3A-2A   (12- 4, 90.1)    15-11   
 518 N Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (18- 1, 99.9)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Winters Mill           11-10  o    1     2          -1.21
   323 A Century, MD             8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.12
   403 A John Carroll, MD       10- 9       1     9          n/a  
   405 N Westminster, MD        19-11       8     4    +      3.89
   407 N Roland Park Country     9-11      -2     8          n/a  
   409 H Archbishop Spalding    17-12       5    13          n/a  
   412 A Fallston               10- 6       4     0    +      3.69
   417 H Bel Air                20-11       9    11          -1.00
   419 A North East, Cecil      20- 2      18    23           0.00
   424 H Patterson Mill         19- 5      14    13           0.00
   426 A North Harford          12-11  o    1     2          -1.41
   427 A Hereford               15-16      -1     2    -     -3.71
   430 H Maryvale Prep          10-16      -6     3          n/a  
   502 H Aberdeen               18- 1      17    22           0.00
   507 N Harford Tech           15- 1      14    15           0.00
   511 H Edgewood               21- 6      15    19           0.00
   514 N North Harford          10- 8       2     2          -0.86
   516 N Hereford               15-11       4     3           0.83
   518 N Century, MD             8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A John Carroll, MD       10- 9       1     9    ---        
   407 N Roland Park Country     9-11      -2     8    ---        
   430 H Maryvale Prep          10-16      -6     3    ---        
   409 H Archbishop Spalding    17-12       5    13    --         
   427 A Hereford               15-16      -1     2    -     -3.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Century, MD             8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.12
   518 N Century, MD             8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.67
   405 N Westminster, MD        19-11       8     4    +      3.89
   412 A Fallston               10- 6       4     0    +      3.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.23 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.96 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/