Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Lloyd Hamilton        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0757141    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 84.8)     9-10   
 402 A Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   ( 5-12, 76.0)    12- 9   
 404 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.6)    15- 3   
 410 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   (12- 8, 83.3)    10-11  o
 412 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.9)     2-16   
 414 H Watertown, NY          NY B  Sec 3   (11- 6, 85.8)    10-12   
 417 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.6)    15- 3   
 420 H Westhill, NY           NY C  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 79.6)    13- 9   
 423 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 4, 91.8)     8-16   
 425 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 73.5)     6- 5   
 501 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 84.8)     8-11   
 503 A Syracuse               NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 7, 80.1)    16-11   
 507 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (15- 4, 90.4)     6-17   
 511 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 77.7)    14- 7   
 516 H Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   (12- 8, 83.3)    11- 7   
 522 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 84.8)    11-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Marcellus               9-10      -1    -1           0.68
   402 A Carthage               12- 9       3     5    -     -2.25
   404 A Rome Free Academy      15- 3      12    14           0.00
   410 A Oswego                 10-11  o   -1    -2           1.03
   412 H West Genesee            2-16     -14   -16           0.00
   414 H Watertown, NY          10-12      -2    -2           0.67
   417 H Rome Free Academy      15- 3      12    16           0.00
   420 H Westhill, NY           13- 9       4     3           0.52
   423 H Baldwinsville           8-16      -8    -8           0.71
   425 A Central Square          6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.68
   501 H Fayetteville-Manlius    8-11      -3    -1          -1.31
   503 A Syracuse               16-11       5     1    +      3.92
   507 A Liverpool               6-17     -11    -9          -0.81
   511 A Auburn                 14- 7       7     3    +      3.44
   516 H Oswego                 11- 7       4     0    ++     4.18
   522 A Fayetteville-Manlius   11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Central Square          6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.68
   402 A Carthage               12- 9       3     5    -     -2.25
   522 A Fayetteville-Manlius   11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Oswego                 11- 7       4     0    ++     4.18
   503 A Syracuse               16-11       5     1    +      3.92
   511 A Auburn                 14- 7       7     3    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.16 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.73 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/