Conf =  NAC                       Region = NY C  Sec 10           
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Lyle Newman           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6546173    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Heuvelton              NY C  Sec 10  ( 5-11, 84.6)    14- 6   
 418 A Ogdensburg Free Acad   NY C  Sec 10  ( 9- 8, 90.4)    12-13   
 420 H Massena                NY C  Sec 10  (15- 3, 99.9)    13-15  o
 425 A Northwood School, NY   NE    Indep   ( 4- 2, 91.4)    11- 9   
 427 H Salmon River           NY C  Sec 10  ( 0-14, 74.4)    20- 1   
 430 H Potsdam                NY C  Sec 10  (10- 9, 90.6)    12-11   
 501 H Saranac Lake           NY C  Sec 10  ( 3-11, 78.1)    18- 6   
 502 A Heuvelton              NY C  Sec 10  ( 5-11, 84.6)     9-10   
 504 H Ogdensburg Free Acad   NY C  Sec 10  ( 9- 8, 90.4)     8- 7   
 507 A Massena                NY C  Sec 10  (15- 3, 99.9)     6-15   
 509 H General Brown          NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 78.3)     4-14   
 511 A Saranac Lake           NY C  Sec 10  ( 3-11, 78.1)    11- 8   
 514 A Potsdam                NY C  Sec 10  (10- 9, 90.6)     5-10   
 516 A Salmon River           NY C  Sec 10  ( 0-14, 74.4)    14- 6   
 522 H Saranac Lake           NY C  Sec 10  ( 3-11, 78.1)    16- 9   
 524 A Potsdam                NY C  Sec 10  (10- 9, 90.6)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Heuvelton              14- 6       8     6           1.21
   418 A Ogdensburg Free Acad   12-13      -1    -1           0.50
   420 H Massena                13-15  o   -2    -8    +++    6.48
   425 A Northwood School, NY   11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.49
   427 H Salmon River           20- 1      19    16           0.00
   430 H Potsdam                12-11       1     0           0.16
   501 H Saranac Lake           18- 6      12    13           0.00
   502 A Heuvelton               9-10      -1     4    --    -5.30
   504 H Ogdensburg Free Acad    8- 7       1     0           0.01
   507 A Massena                 6-15      -9   -10           1.00
   509 H General Brown           4-14     -10    12          n/a  
   511 A Saranac Lake           11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   514 A Potsdam                 5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.35
   516 A Salmon River           14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   522 H Saranac Lake           16- 9       7    13    -     -3.00
   524 A Potsdam                 4-16     -12    -1    ---   -8.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H General Brown           4-14     -10    12    ---        
   511 A Saranac Lake           11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   524 A Potsdam                 4-16     -12    -1    ---   -8.35
   502 A Heuvelton               9-10      -1     4    --    -5.30
   514 A Potsdam                 5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.35
   516 A Salmon River           14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   522 H Saranac Lake           16- 9       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Massena                13-15  o   -2    -8    +++    6.48
   425 A Northwood School, NY   11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.18 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.53 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/