Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Laura Nelson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.0590973    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Kettle Run             VA    NW AA   ( 7- 7, 69.2)    13-10   
 314 A Stone Bridge           VA    Lbrty   (11- 6, 90.6)     5-16   
 319 H Fauquier               VA    NW AA   ( 9- 8, 70.9)    19-15   
 321 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 77.1)    11-19   
 326 A George Mason           VA    NW AA   ( 2- 8, 67.1)    13- 8   
 329 H Woodgrove              VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 88.0)     3-20   
 412 H Tuscarora, VA          VA    NW AA   ( 8-10, 71.6)    18-16  o
 416 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 2-10, 66.0)     9-10   
 419 H Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 0-10, 55.4)    22- 3   
 426 A Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (13- 6, 81.9)     9-17   
 430 A Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 3- 8, 68.0)   
 503 H Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 72.1)     6-10   
 507 H Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AA   (12- 7, 81.2)    11-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Kettle Run             13-10       3     1           1.36
   314 A Stone Bridge            5-16     -11   -19           0.00
   319 H Fauquier               19-15       4     2           1.86
   321 H Broad Run              11-19      -8    -4    -     -3.93
   326 A George Mason           13- 8       5     3           1.28
   329 H Woodgrove               3-20     -17   -14           0.00
   412 H Tuscarora, VA          18-16  o    2     1           0.60
   416 A Potomac Falls           9-10      -1     4    --    -5.84
   419 H Park View              22- 3      19    17           0.00
   426 A Loudoun County          9-17      -8   -11    +      2.00
   503 H Dominion                6-10      -4     0    --    -4.94
   507 H Loudoun Valley         11-15      -4    -8    ++     4.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Potomac Falls           9-10      -1     4    --    -5.84
   503 H Dominion                6-10      -4     0    --    -4.94
   321 H Broad Run              11-19      -8    -4    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Loudoun Valley         11-15      -4    -8    ++     4.19
   426 A Loudoun County          9-17      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.94 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.00 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    67
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    67
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/