Conf =  A                         Region = NY B  Sec 1            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Gerry Walsh           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.8802338    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Nyack                  NY C  Sec 1   (12- 5, 93.0)    16- 8   
 411 H Fox Lane               NY B  Sec 1   (17- 4, 98.4)     7- 6   
 412 A White Plains           NY A  Sec 1   ( 6-11, 82.6)    13- 7   
 416 H Hastings, NY           NY C  Sec 1   ( 4-11, 74.6)    19- 3   
 418 H John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (12- 5, 96.8)    10-11   
 421 H Pearl River            NY C  Sec 1   (10- 8, 90.3)    12-10   
 425 H Arlington, NY          NY A  Sec 1   (10- 6, 86.6)     9- 8   
 427 A Wappingers             NY A  Sec 1   ( 5-11, 78.8)    16- 2   
 428 H North Rockland         NY A  Sec 1   (19- 1, 98.2)     6- 8   
 430 A Staples                CT    Class L (14- 5, 90.8)     7- 9   
 502 H Lakeland-Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (16- 1, 99.9)    10-14   
 504 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   ( 8-10, 93.7)    13-13   
 508 H Suffern                NY A  Sec 1   (13- 5, 96.2)    10-16   
 511 A Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   ( 8- 7, 91.0)    15- 9   
 512 A Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   ( 6-12, 84.7)    17- 8   
 519 H Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   ( 6-12, 84.7)    15-11   
 522 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   ( 8-10, 93.7)     8- 7   
 524 A Fox Lane               NY B  Sec 1   (17- 4, 98.4)     9-11 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Nyack                  16- 8       8     2    ++     5.71
   411 H Fox Lane                7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.03
   412 A White Plains           13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   416 H Hastings, NY           19- 3      16    20           0.00
   418 H John Jay-Cross River   10-11      -1    -1           0.49
   421 H Pearl River            12-10       2     5    -     -3.04
   425 H Arlington, NY           9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.69
   427 A Wappingers             16- 2      14    14           0.00
   428 H North Rockland          6- 8      -2    -2           0.86
   430 A Staples                 7- 9      -2     2          n/a  
   502 H Lakeland-Panas         10-14      -4    -4           0.57
   504 A Yorktown, NY           13-13       0     0           0.74
   508 H Suffern                10-16      -6     0    --    -5.09
   511 A Mahopac                15- 9       6     1    ++     4.07
   512 A Horace Greeley         17- 8       9     8           0.75
   519 H Horace Greeley         15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   522 H Yorktown, NY            8- 7       1     1          -0.62
   524 A Fox Lane                9-11 2o   -2    -5    +      3.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Arlington, NY           9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.69
   519 H Horace Greeley         15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   412 A White Plains           13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   430 A Staples                 7- 9      -2     2    --         
   508 H Suffern                10-16      -6     0    --    -5.09
   421 H Pearl River            12-10       2     5    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Nyack                  16- 8       8     2    ++     5.71
   411 H Fox Lane                7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.03
   511 A Mahopac                15- 9       6     1    ++     4.07
   524 A Fox Lane                9-11 2o   -2    -5    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.15 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.24 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/