Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Keri Stenta           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0118103    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 3, 99.9)     4-20   
 330 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 5-10, 78.6)    15-10   
 402 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (15- 3, 94.3)     9-16   
 410 A Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   (10- 4, 81.5)    17- 4   
 412 H Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 9- 9, 81.1)    10- 6   
 418 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 82.9)    10-14   
 420 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-12, 74.6)    11- 7   
 427 H Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   ( 3-11, 69.5)    17- 6   
 430 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 3, 99.9)     6-18   
 502 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (15- 3, 94.3)     7-14   
 505 H Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 72.7)    16-12   
 507 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 5-10, 78.6)    13-12   
 510 A Dryden                 NY C  Sec 4   ( 0-10, 68.0)    15- 4   
 511 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-12, 74.6)    10- 6   
 517 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 82.9)    15-12   
 522 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 82.9)    11-10 2o
 524 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 3, 99.9)     3-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Corning                 4-20     -16   -15           0.00
   330 H Union-Endicott         15-10       5     7    -     -2.59
   402 A Vestal                  9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   410 A Chenango Forks         17- 4      13     2    +++    7.24
   412 H Owego Free Academy     10- 6       4     5          -1.11
   418 A Ithaca                 10-14      -4     1    --    -5.40
   420 H Horseheads             11- 7       4    11    ---   -6.00
   427 H Johnson City           17- 6      11    16           0.00
   430 H Corning                 6-18     -12   -13           0.00
   502 H Vestal                  7-14      -7    -8           1.08
   505 H Cortland               16-12       4    13          n/a  
   507 A Union-Endicott         13-12       1     5    --    -4.64
   510 A Dryden                 15- 4      11    16           0.00
   511 A Horseheads             10- 6       4     9    --    -5.71
   517 H Ithaca                 15-12       3     3          -0.36
   522 H Ithaca                 11-10 2o    1     3    -     -2.36
   524 A Corning                 3-21     -18   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Horseheads             11- 7       4    11    ---   -6.00
   505 H Cortland               16-12       4    13    ---        
   418 A Ithaca                 10-14      -4     1    --    -5.40
   507 A Union-Endicott         13-12       1     5    --    -4.64
   511 A Horseheads             10- 6       4     9    --    -5.71
   330 H Union-Endicott         15-10       5     7    -     -2.59
   522 H Ithaca                 11-10 2o    1     3    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Chenango Forks         17- 4      13     2    +++    7.24
   402 A Vestal                  9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.26 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.19 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/