Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Carla Lemnah-Warner   

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8482971    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 (16- 2, 79.2)    18- 8   
 405 H Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 5-10, 66.6)    14- 4   
 407 A Suffield Academy       NE            ( 5- 8, 79.0)    14- 8   
 409 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 9- 9, 69.3)    19- 5   
 411 H Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  (14- 5, 79.9)    11-11   
 416 H South Windsor          CT    Class L ( 4-11, 78.1)     9- 5   
 419 H Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (18- 6, 90.9)     7-14   
 424 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 2, 90.4)     5-14   
 426 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 7-11, 71.8)    17- 4   
 430 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8-12, 72.9)    16- 9   
 503 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (11- 7, 76.2)    20-11   
 507 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 71.5)    18- 9   
 509 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8-12, 72.9)    15- 5   
 511 A Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (18- 6, 90.9)     8-19   
 514 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 2, 90.4)     5-16   
 516 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 7-11, 71.8)    22-13   
 522 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 (11- 7, 76.2)    21-13   
 524 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 71.5)    18- 5   
 607 N Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (18- 6, 90.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Westfield HS, MA       18- 8      10     3    +++    6.40
   405 H Cathedral, MA          14- 4      10    17           0.00
   407 A Suffield Academy       14- 8       6     3          n/a  
   409 A West Springfield, MA   19- 5      14    13           0.00
   411 H Tantasqua              11-11       0     4    --    -4.09
   416 H South Windsor           9- 5       4     6          n/a  
   419 H Longmeadow              7-14      -7    -6          -0.10
   424 A Minnechaug              5-14      -9    -7          -1.46
   426 H East Longmeadow        17- 4      13    12           0.00
   430 A Northampton            16- 9       7     9    -     -2.93
   503 H South Hadley           20-11       9     7           1.20
   507 A Amherst-Pelham         18- 9       9    11          -1.00
   509 H Northampton            15- 5      10    11           0.00
   511 A Longmeadow              8-19     -11    -8          -1.90
   514 H Minnechaug              5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.66
   516 A East Longmeadow        22-13       9    11          -1.00
   522 A South Hadley           21-13       8     6           1.40
   524 H Amherst-Pelham         18- 5      13    12           0.00
   607 N Longmeadow              5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Tantasqua              11-11       0     4    --    -4.09
   416 H South Windsor           9- 5       4     6    -          
   430 A Northampton            16- 9       7     9    -     -2.93
   514 H Minnechaug              5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.66
   607 N Longmeadow              5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Westfield HS, MA       18- 8      10     3    +++    6.40
   407 A Suffield Academy       14- 8       6     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.43 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.61 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/