Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Scott Biron           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.3445587    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Needham                MA    So D1   (22- 2, 96.0)     6-14   
 402 A Walpole                MA    So D1   (12- 8, 85.7)     5- 9   
 403 H King Philip            MA    So D1   (13- 8, 85.9)     6-14   
 405 H Lincoln-Sudbury        MA    No D1   (22- 2, 97.8)     4-19   
 410 A Notre Dame Acad, MA    MA    So D1   (21- 2, 95.1)     8-18   
 412 H Newton South           MA    So D1   ( 0-12, 65.4)    17- 2   
 419 H Westford Academy       MA    No D1   (18- 5, 89.4)     9-14   
 420 A Lexington HS           MA    No D1   ( 6-14, 76.0)    14-10   
 422 H Marblehead             MA    No D2   (16- 5, 84.6)    15-12   
 424 H Waltham                MA    No D1   ( 5-12, 74.6)    16-13   
 426 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   (12- 7, 86.5)     7-14   
 430 H Weston, MA             MA    No D2   ( 5- 9, 79.4)     8-12   
 503 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA    No D1   (22- 2, 97.8)     4-22   
 508 A Franklin, MA           MA    So D1   (13- 5, 86.7)     6-14   
 510 A Newton South           MA    So D1   ( 0-12, 65.4)    18- 6   
 514 A Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (20- 3, 92.7)    13-21   
 515 A Westford Academy       MA    No D1   (18- 5, 89.4)    10-19   
 517 A Waltham                MA    No D1   ( 5-12, 74.6)    14- 6   
 521 A Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 2, 99.9)     4-17   
 522 A Winchester             MA    No D2   (23- 2, 93.5)    11-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Needham                 6-14      -8   -18    +      2.00
   402 A Walpole                 5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.83
   403 H King Philip             6-14      -8    -6          -1.25
   405 H Lincoln-Sudbury         4-19     -15   -18           0.00
   410 A Notre Dame Acad, MA     8-18     -10   -17           0.00
   412 H Newton South           17- 2      15    13           0.00
   419 H Westford Academy        9-14      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   420 A Lexington HS           14-10       4     1    +      2.04
   422 H Marblehead             15-12       3    -5    +++    8.46
   424 H Waltham                16-13       3     4          -1.50
   426 A Concord-Carlisle        7-14      -7    -8           1.58
   430 H Weston, MA              8-12      -4     0    -     -3.68
   503 A Lincoln-Sudbury         4-22     -18   -19           0.00
   508 A Franklin, MA            6-14      -8    -8           0.77
   510 A Newton South           18- 6      12    12           0.00
   514 A Andover, MA            13-21      -8   -14    +      2.00
   515 A Westford Academy       10-19      -9   -11           1.00
   517 A Waltham                14- 6       8     3    ++     4.70
   521 A Westwood, MA            4-17     -13   -21           0.00
   522 A Winchester             11-18      -7   -15    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Weston, MA              8-12      -4     0    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Marblehead             15-12       3    -5    +++    8.46
   419 H Westford Academy        9-14      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   517 A Waltham                14- 6       8     3    ++     4.70
   330 A Needham                 6-14      -8   -18    +      2.00
   402 A Walpole                 5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.83
   420 A Lexington HS           14-10       4     1    +      2.04
   514 A Andover, MA            13-21      -8   -14    +      2.00
   522 A Winchester             11-18      -7   -15    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.52 Local Power Rank...........    63
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.97 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    85
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/