girls probabilites for 49
 
 

2011 girls NJ Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Ridgewood 23 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 5 19.00 2 Chatham 20 5 5 2 2 2 5 2 9 4.00 3 Glen Ridge 20 5 4 10 6 5 1 7 13 8.00 4 Shore Regional 17 4 14 53 17 8 2 10 20 0.10 5 Shawnee 16 4 8 31 9 13 7 9 29 4.00 6 Summit, NJ 20 3 7 19 5 7 21 6 34 7.00 7 Washington Towns 17 3 9 35 12 11 16 17 44 2.00 8 Mendham 18 3 3 3 4 3 38 4 45 8.00 9 West Essex 14 7 12 17 19 22 4 19 45 0.10 10 Kent Place SG 15 6 11 14 14 14 8 25 47 5.00 11 West Morris Cent 13 7 15 12 26 17 6 28 51 0.10 12 Hillsborough, NJ 20 3 10 26 7 10 27 15 52 0.10 13 Red Bank Catholi 16 3 33 89 22 15 20 18 53 0.10 14 Clearview Region 14 4 16 49 15 26 22 21 69 0.10 15 Manasquan 15 3 38 114 25 25 34 11 70 0.10 16 Haddonfield 18 2 19 95 13 29 29 14 72 0.10 17 Colts Neck 19 3 25 98 16 19 46 13 78 0.10 18 Mountain Lakes 14 6 6 7 8 9 62 8 79 17.00 19 Westfield, NJ 14 6 36 46 27 36 18 30 84 0.10 20 Toms River North 14 3 27 69 31 12 49 24 85 0.10 21 Oak Knoll School 14 7 24 15 21 28 30 32 90 0.10 22 Freehold Townshi 12 6 44 60 52 24 26 41 91 0.10 23 Mahwah 14 6 46 37 35 20 39 35 94 0.10 24 South Brunswick 17 2 23 112 18 23 55 16 94 0.10 25 Ridge, NJ 14 8 29 22 47 31 12 56 99 1.00 26 Bishop Eustace P 13 5 42 92 41 45 15 44 104 0.10 27 Bernards 17 4 30 87 29 38 47 27 112 0.10 28 Montgomery, NJ 14 6 18 18 37 32 44 39 115 1.00 29 Brick Memorial 16 6 51 86 50 34 42 42 118 0.10 30 Immaculate Heart 8 9 34 5 56 30 35 55 120 0.10 31 Pingry School 13 10 32 20 55 47 9 69 125 0.10 32 Morris Knolls 14 3 17 54 28 18 82 26 126 0.10 33 Seneca, NJ 17 4 28 81 23 33 70 23 126 0.10 34 Bridgewater-Rari 11 7 21 16 44 42 36 49 127 0.10 35 Lenape 9 9 40 21 68 40 10 77 127 0.10 36 Eastern, NJ 12 8 35 36 54 46 24 61 131 0.10 37 Vernon Township 18 4 20 33 11 16 104 12 132 0.10 38 Red Bank Regiona 8 8 100 67 74 56 25 53 134 0.10 39 Rumson-Fair Have 17 5 13 34 10 6 124 5 135 0.10 40 Allentown, NJ 11 8 45 51 77 51 14 76 141 0.10 41 West Windsor-PB 15 4 26 44 34 27 81 34 142 0.10 42 Kinnelon 7 9 58 23 65 49 28 66 143 0.10 43 Millville 15 2 55 166 20 37 86 20 143 0.10 44 Moorestown 22 4 2 4 3 4 137 3 144 24.00 45 Princeton HS 11 5 37 42 49 43 52 51 146 0.10 46 Ocean City 15 3 57 161 30 44 76 29 149 0.10 47 Caldwell 14 6 31 41 32 41 80 37 158 0.10 48 Toms River South 9 8 52 61 89 39 45 75 159 0.10 49 New Egypt 9 7 56 57 67 52 53 57 162 0.10 50 Wall Township 8 8 104 94 79 62 23 81 166 0.10 51 Camden Catholic 14 5 43 106 45 59 64 48 171 0.10 52 Cherokee 6 8 54 11 70 50 40 82 172 0.10 53 Glen Rock 8 9 68 38 72 77 33 70 180 0.10 54 DePaul Catholic 14 4 39 71 33 35 115 33 183 0.10 55 North Hunterdon 11 11 47 30 97 60 19 104 183 0.10 56 Monroe Township 12 6 60 115 58 53 75 58 186 0.10 57 Kingsway 9 7 69 76 60 66 57 65 188 0.10 58 Indian Hills, NJ 12 9 53 62 87 48 51 90 189 0.10 59 Millburn 10 8 48 40 66 63 61 67 191 0.10 60 Monmouth Regiona 13 4 72 141 40 61 99 31 191 0.10 61 Columbia, NJ 5 12 67 9 93 73 11 108 192 0.10 62 Jackson Memorial 5 9 84 52 119 55 37 102 194 0.10 63 Madison 4 14 73 6 117 57 13 129 199 0.10 64 Northern Highlan 14 5 50 129 46 54 109 45 208 0.10 65 West Windsor-PB 16 3 22 45 24 21 167 22 210 0.10 66 Jefferson Townsh 14 7 81 125 53 71 97 50 218 0.10 67 Ramapo 6 14 78 24 139 64 17 138 219 0.10 68 Manalapan 8 9 94 88 96 86 48 87 221 0.10 69 Rancocas Valley 9 10 62 48 92 58 73 95 226 0.10 70 Egg Harbor Twp 10 7 114 151 71 83 72 72 227 0.10 71 Sparta 12 6 66 116 51 74 103 52 229 0.10 72 Middle Township 11 7 98 156 73 84 84 71 239 0.10 73 Old Bridge 9 6 74 111 63 67 111 64 242 0.10 74 Ocean Township 10 9 103 132 99 92 59 93 244 0.10 75 St. John Vianney 4 9 108 64 100 96 69 80 245 0.10 76 Delaware Valley, 14 4 41 119 42 68 136 43 247 0.10 77 Mt. St. Dominic 16 5 59 127 38 80 131 36 247 0.10 78 Hightstown 12 3 89 174 36 72 144 38 254 0.10 79 Somerville 11 9 83 104 95 94 68 97 259 0.10 80 Montclair HS 6 13 82 25 130 82 31 147 260 0.10 81 Villa Walsh Acad 10 9 65 66 90 76 95 89 260 0.10 82 Holy Angels Acad 10 8 87 113 76 89 106 73 268 0.10 83 Southern Regiona 8 9 99 78 111 85 87 96 268 0.10 84 Bergen Tech 10 5 88 145 43 93 129 47 269 0.10 85 Ewing Township 9 4 119 175 39 75 154 40 269 0.10 86 West Deptford 6 11 93 59 133 88 43 139 270 0.10 87 Hopewell Valley 6 11 63 27 135 79 65 128 272 0.10 88 Howell 5 7 102 84 86 81 108 83 272 0.10 89 Cherry Hill East 9 9 49 29 80 78 101 94 273 0.10 90 Wayne Hills 9 9 71 82 104 69 107 98 274 0.10 91 Toms River East 6 11 112 77 147 97 54 124 275 0.10 92 Lower Cape May 8 9 128 150 106 100 77 99 276 0.10 93 Delran 12 7 64 75 62 65 155 60 280 0.10 94 Holy Cross, NJ 10 8 61 65 64 70 150 63 283 0.10 95 Cherry Hill West 6 11 97 47 120 105 50 131 286 0.10 96 Roxbury 8 12 90 68 127 87 74 126 287 0.10 97 Morris Catholic 8 7 85 79 78 90 130 74 294 0.10 98 Randolph, NJ 6 8 91 74 83 95 123 79 297 0.10 99 Morristown 7 10 77 56 113 101 88 110 299 0.10 100 Mt. Olive 9 8 105 124 75 103 120 78 301 0.10 101 Jackson Liberty, 6 10 144 103 129 108 79 120 307 0.10 102 North Brunswick 7 9 116 105 114 98 96 115 309 0.10 103 Scotch Plains-Fa 8 10 120 100 94 112 93 105 310 0.10 104 Neptune 7 10 123 136 126 119 78 114 311 0.10 105 River Dell 10 6 110 157 59 107 145 62 314 0.10 106 Hunterdon Centra 1 14 92 8 159 116 32 167 315 0.10 107 Montville Townsh 11 6 79 154 61 102 157 59 318 0.10 108 Pope John XXIII 4 13 124 55 164 104 60 158 322 0.10 109 Rutgers Prep 10 4 80 121 48 99 178 46 323 0.10 110 Barnegat 12 6 107 170 57 111 160 54 325 0.10 111 Governor Livings 9 9 106 117 85 115 119 92 326 0.10 112 New Providence 7 12 129 90 123 128 71 130 329 0.10 113 Notre Dame, NJ 6 12 75 28 132 91 105 133 329 0.10 114 Pennsauken 6 14 133 72 145 138 41 152 331 0.10 115 Morristown-Beard 6 12 96 43 137 109 83 141 333 0.10 116 St. Rose 5 9 118 101 101 125 125 84 334 0.10 117 NV-Old Tappan 8 9 125 149 109 120 116 101 337 0.10 118 Monsignor Donova 8 9 126 140 107 114 121 103 338 0.10 119 Mt. St. Mary SG 8 9 95 109 108 113 114 111 338 0.10 120 Lawrence 6 7 146 180 82 117 139 86 342 0.10 121 Absegami 4 13 151 130 158 130 58 159 347 0.10 122 Holmdel 3 14 150 83 163 137 56 154 347 0.10 123 Montclair Kimber 10 10 76 58 91 106 134 109 349 0.10 124 East Brunswick 4 11 141 91 141 121 90 140 351 0.10 125 Pascack Valley 8 6 86 164 69 123 164 68 355 0.10 126 Cinnaminson 6 11 101 73 134 122 100 134 356 0.10 127 Collingswood 12 8 70 135 81 110 162 85 357 0.10 128 Cranford 7 10 111 108 102 124 122 113 359 0.10 129 Lakeland Regiona 9 8 117 168 88 127 142 91 360 0.10 130 Fair Lawn 7 10 127 133 116 118 127 118 363 0.10 131 OLMA, NJ 6 11 147 160 143 135 92 143 370 0.10 132 Verona, NJ 4 14 115 50 156 134 89 160 383 0.10 133 NV-Demarest 7 9 132 155 98 141 143 100 384 0.10 134 Voorhees 6 9 113 110 118 131 135 119 385 0.10 135 J.P. Stevens 6 11 142 128 142 132 112 142 386 0.10 136 Watchung Hills 0 16 136 13 176 143 67 177 387 0.10 137 Morris Hills 6 10 135 144 121 139 128 122 389 0.10 138 Pequannock Towns 5 9 109 85 110 126 149 116 391 0.10 139 Wayne Valley 8 9 121 159 112 133 147 112 392 0.10 140 Woodstown 4 13 158 107 165 146 85 164 395 0.10 141 Winslow 0 16 168 39 174 155 63 178 396 0.10 142 Brick Township 7 11 130 147 125 142 132 125 399 0.10 143 Marlboro, NJ 3 9 149 99 122 140 138 121 399 0.10 144 Robbinsville 2 13 131 32 168 129 102 168 399 0.10 145 Hamilton West 5 11 156 176 140 149 117 137 403 0.10 146 Sterling 7 9 122 138 115 136 151 117 404 0.10 147 Gateway Regional 0 15 170 80 179 162 66 179 407 0.10 148 Long Branch 0 14 175 96 175 154 91 169 414 0.10 149 Mainland Regiona 3 12 160 142 157 147 110 157 414 0.10 150 Phillipsburg 4 14 139 102 169 151 94 170 415 0.10 151 Steinert (Ham. E 4 8 155 179 103 148 166 106 420 0.10 152 Northern Burling 2 12 137 63 152 145 126 151 422 0.10 153 Park Regional 3 9 154 148 124 150 158 123 431 0.10 154 Newark Academy, 3 11 134 70 150 144 140 149 433 0.10 155 Gloucester Catho 3 13 157 120 167 157 113 166 436 0.10 156 Ranney School 1 8 167 153 84 172 176 88 436 0.10 157 Paul VI, NJ 2 14 164 93 171 153 118 172 443 0.10 158 St. Elizabeth Ac 6 11 145 169 146 152 146 145 443 0.10 159 Oakcrest 0 16 173 146 180 167 98 180 445 0.10 160 Dwight-Englewood 1 9 159 134 128 159 168 127 454 0.10 161 Central Regional 3 8 152 177 105 169 179 107 455 0.10 162 Immaculata 4 12 140 122 154 156 153 155 464 0.10 163 Union Catholic 2 13 162 97 160 161 141 163 465 0.10 164 Maple Shade 5 12 143 123 136 158 175 135 468 0.10 165 South Plainfield 3 15 161 139 177 165 133 175 473 0.10 166 Livingston 4 12 138 126 155 160 161 156 477 0.10 167 Pascack Hills 0 10 176 131 149 164 165 148 477 0.10 168 Waldwick 1 11 174 152 153 170 156 153 479 0.10 169 Boonton 3 10 165 173 138 171 173 136 480 0.10 170 Lacey Township 5 11 148 171 148 163 172 146 481 0.10 171 Paramus HS 1 10 172 143 144 166 171 144 481 0.10 172 Lacordaire Acade 0 9 180 178 131 180 180 132 492 0.10 173 Nottingham (Ham. 0 12 179 163 161 174 159 161 494 0.10 174 Point Pleasant B 1 14 163 137 173 168 152 174 494 0.10 175 North Warren 1 15 171 118 178 176 148 176 500 0.10 176 Manchester Towns 1 11 169 165 151 177 177 150 504 0.10 177 Clifton 3 13 153 167 166 173 170 165 508 0.10 178 Lenape Valley 1 15 177 158 172 178 163 173 514 0.10 179 Passaic Valley 0 12 178 162 162 179 174 162 515 0.10 180 Pinelands Region 3 14 166 172 170 175 169 171 515 0.10
<