girls probabilites for 32
2011 girls Massachusetts
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Westwood, MA 25 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 62.00
2 Lincoln-Sudbury 20 3 2 5 2 3 4 2 9 15.00
3 Needham 21 3 7 12 4 6 7 3 16 1.00
4 Hopkinton, MA 18 5 11 8 9 4 6 9 19 3.00
5 Wellesley HS 16 2 8 13 5 11 9 5 25 1.00
6 Notre Dame Acad, 19 2 3 14 7 2 19 7 28 1.00
7 Westborough 19 3 6 31 11 8 10 11 29 2.00
8 Medfield 17 3 9 15 8 7 15 8 30 1.00
9 Norwell 10 7 18 2 23 14 2 21 37 1.00
10 Franklin, MA 17 4 12 21 12 12 17 14 43 1.00
11 Winchester 18 3 13 24 13 16 16 12 44 0.10
12 Longmeadow 19 4 5 6 10 5 37 10 52 8.00
13 Duxbury 14 6 16 10 15 17 31 13 61 0.10
14 Sandwich 16 4 27 75 22 19 20 22 61 0.10
15 Weston, MA 15 4 15 17 21 15 23 23 61 0.10
16 Ipswich 18 2 19 53 18 13 32 17 62 0.10
17 Minnechaug 17 1 4 26 6 9 49 6 64 2.00
18 Algonquin 16 5 17 32 16 25 21 19 65 0.10
19 Concord-Carlisle 16 4 14 19 14 18 28 20 66 0.10
20 Framingham 12 9 24 9 32 24 5 39 68 0.10
21 Acton-Boxborough 10 10 26 3 44 22 3 44 69 0.10
22 Mansfield 13 7 20 22 29 26 14 32 72 0.10
23 Dover-Sherborn 11 9 31 7 43 23 8 42 73 0.10
24 Reading Memorial 15 5 25 48 24 31 26 30 87 0.10
25 Ursuline Academy 13 4 44 93 25 27 43 25 95 0.10
26 Westford Academy 11 9 32 11 51 28 13 55 96 0.10
27 Shrewsbury 14 7 37 45 33 38 27 36 101 0.10
28 Andover, MA 22 2 10 20 3 10 88 4 102 2.00
29 North Andover 15 4 22 33 35 20 56 28 104 0.10
30 Ashland 14 8 36 30 42 40 24 41 105 0.10
31 Marblehead 15 5 29 87 40 32 39 35 106 0.10
32 Scituate, MA 11 8 43 40 47 43 25 45 113 0.10
33 King Philip 11 7 23 25 45 34 33 47 114 0.10
34 Triton Regional, 13 7 40 34 41 21 60 37 118 0.10
35 Wayland 11 8 41 23 50 35 30 53 118 0.10
36 Walpole 11 11 48 16 57 42 12 65 119 0.10
37 Bishop Fenwick, 16 4 46 122 34 37 59 31 127 0.10
38 Bishop Stang 13 7 58 90 56 30 48 50 128 0.10
39 Hingham 7 12 59 18 71 50 11 68 129 0.10
40 Cohasset 12 4 33 71 28 39 66 26 131 0.10
41 Belmont 14 5 28 73 37 45 50 38 133 0.10
42 Masconomet 11 9 49 36 79 36 22 75 133 0.10
43 Danvers 13 6 51 89 52 52 42 49 143 0.10
44 Holliston 4 11 66 4 74 56 18 72 146 0.10
45 Newton North 13 5 38 66 31 54 62 33 149 0.10
46 Medway 13 9 42 39 60 53 40 58 151 0.10
47 Central Catholic 17 2 30 123 19 41 98 15 154 0.10
48 Nashoba Regional 11 9 71 63 53 60 38 59 157 0.10
49 Pentucket Region 9 7 50 55 69 47 44 66 157 0.10
50 Agawam 16 5 21 37 20 33 107 18 158 0.10
51 Martha's Vineyar 12 8 57 82 63 46 57 57 160 0.10
52 Falmouth HS, MA 11 5 62 99 48 48 71 46 165 0.10
53 Lexington HS 11 11 45 29 81 51 29 94 174 0.10
54 Tantasqua 12 6 63 104 39 69 65 43 177 0.10
55 Groton Dunstable 17 2 34 113 17 29 134 16 179 0.10
56 Wachusett 7 9 81 59 72 68 41 73 182 0.10
57 Bridgewater-Rayn 13 7 82 121 62 55 68 63 186 0.10
58 East Longmeadow 8 10 65 47 70 81 34 71 186 0.10
59 Oakmont Regional 14 3 54 139 27 44 113 29 186 0.10
60 Braintree 12 7 47 65 46 64 72 51 187 0.10
61 Austin Prep, MA 11 10 100 108 95 62 35 96 193 0.10
62 Georgetown, MA 9 9 79 62 88 57 52 84 193 0.10
63 Norwood 10 10 53 38 73 72 45 76 193 0.10
64 Nauset Regional 12 7 77 125 64 61 74 60 195 0.10
65 Bedford Public, 9 9 64 49 68 74 54 70 198 0.10
66 Medford, MA 16 4 60 143 30 75 96 27 198 0.10
67 Dartmouth 10 9 88 106 78 63 61 78 202 0.10
68 Beverly 11 6 72 95 54 65 86 52 203 0.10
69 Woburn Memorial 10 11 61 50 99 66 36 104 206 0.10
70 Hanover, MA 12 7 55 94 59 58 101 56 215 0.10
71 New Bedford 14 6 75 141 49 67 103 48 218 0.10
72 Newburyport 10 9 56 91 86 79 64 82 225 0.10
73 Waltham 7 8 69 35 66 80 77 69 226 0.10
74 Archbishop Willi 14 7 70 147 58 76 90 61 227 0.10
75 Chelmsford 8 10 67 54 89 85 58 88 231 0.10
76 Northampton 14 6 35 42 36 49 148 34 231 0.10
77 Hull 14 3 52 152 26 77 131 24 232 0.10
78 Westfield HS, MA 7 11 84 57 92 95 46 92 233 0.10
79 Milford, MA 10 9 90 116 85 78 70 86 234 0.10
80 Tyngsborough 7 9 76 72 75 89 67 79 235 0.10
81 Manchester-Essex 9 10 68 70 96 71 75 90 236 0.10
82 Canton, MA 7 9 78 44 83 73 83 83 239 0.10
83 North Reading 9 10 97 97 102 83 63 97 243 0.10
84 Peabody Veterans 10 7 73 110 61 84 97 62 243 0.10
85 South Hadley 11 6 39 69 38 59 146 40 245 0.10
86 Plymouth North, 9 10 87 96 103 70 82 98 250 0.10
87 Billerica Memori 6 12 99 67 122 94 47 115 256 0.10
88 Haverhill 6 11 102 88 108 99 53 105 257 0.10
89 Bourne 8 10 91 114 104 82 78 101 261 0.10
90 Marshfield 6 12 92 84 123 93 51 117 261 0.10
91 Amherst-Pelham 9 8 83 77 67 91 112 67 270 0.10
92 Bromfield School 7 8 115 130 80 86 106 81 273 0.10
93 Abington, MA 10 9 114 138 82 104 91 80 275 0.10
94 Nipmuc 10 9 85 124 84 88 102 85 275 0.10
95 Natick 10 11 74 86 94 98 79 102 279 0.10
96 Foxborough 7 10 80 76 101 90 89 103 282 0.10
97 Oliver Ames 7 11 86 64 111 92 92 111 295 0.10
98 Wakefield Memori 9 11 101 98 105 106 81 108 295 0.10
99 Pembroke, MA 9 9 98 134 87 100 110 87 297 0.10
100 Whitman-Hanson R 8 8 104 120 77 96 125 77 298 0.10
101 Arlington HS, MA 3 15 94 27 141 101 55 144 300 0.10
102 Arlington Cathol 9 10 93 131 100 97 116 95 308 0.10
103 Apponequet 9 8 108 156 76 116 127 74 317 0.10
104 Hamilton-Wenham 2 12 116 51 134 102 85 130 317 0.10
105 Lowell, MA 6 9 96 100 90 107 123 89 319 0.10
106 North Attleboro 7 11 89 81 107 103 109 107 319 0.10
107 Weymouth 4 12 109 61 120 119 76 124 319 0.10
108 Shawsheen Valley 7 6 95 144 65 110 147 64 321 0.10
109 Bishop Feehan 7 9 106 109 93 112 118 93 323 0.10
110 Burlington, MA 5 13 110 78 130 113 80 133 326 0.10
111 Milton, MA 2 11 105 41 110 115 93 118 326 0.10
112 Grafton Memorial 7 5 117 157 55 120 155 54 329 0.10
113 St. Mary's, Lynn 11 10 112 150 98 105 128 100 333 0.10
114 Salem, MA 6 9 118 118 97 114 121 99 334 0.10
115 West Springfield 1 14 122 43 140 124 73 140 337 0.10
116 Wilmington 4 11 111 92 124 118 100 121 339 0.10
117 North Middlesex 2 12 113 28 117 87 132 122 341 0.10
118 Quincy 1 10 142 79 118 117 105 119 341 0.10
119 Barnstable 5 11 121 136 121 111 111 120 342 0.10
120 Leominster 7 11 130 142 115 108 124 116 348 0.10
121 St. Bernard's, M 8 9 120 155 91 121 137 91 349 0.10
122 Newton South 6 13 103 85 119 133 95 123 351 0.10
123 Belchertown 2 17 125 58 152 132 69 152 353 0.10
124 North Shore-Esse 3 10 123 112 114 109 130 114 353 0.10
125 Lynnfield 7 11 107 127 116 129 115 110 354 0.10
126 Hudson, MA 5 13 131 132 138 128 99 138 365 0.10
127 Brookline 2 15 128 56 145 137 84 146 367 0.10
128 Coyle-Cassidy 5 16 141 129 155 127 87 155 369 0.10
129 Sharon, MA 6 12 119 101 126 130 114 126 370 0.10
130 Nantucket HS 6 12 129 149 127 126 122 127 375 0.10
131 Cathedral, MA 1 11 127 52 112 122 144 112 378 0.10
132 Bellingham 0 18 140 46 158 136 94 158 388 0.10
133 Littleton, MA 1 14 150 128 150 134 108 148 390 0.10
134 Matignon 3 11 135 148 125 140 126 125 391 0.10
135 North Quincy 1 14 155 111 149 146 104 147 397 0.10
136 St. Peter-Marian 2 12 137 126 132 135 133 132 400 0.10
137 Lowell Catholic 2 12 145 117 135 131 138 135 404 0.10
138 Cape Cod Acad, M 6 12 143 151 106 147 154 106 407 0.10
139 Marlborough, MA 2 15 136 60 139 125 145 139 409 0.10
140 Silver Lake 5 13 139 135 137 144 129 137 410 0.10
141 Melrose 4 15 126 74 146 123 142 149 414 0.10
142 Plymouth South, 2 16 146 115 156 138 120 156 414 0.10
143 Marian, MA 4 12 134 146 131 141 143 131 415 0.10
144 Swampscott 2 15 133 105 154 142 119 154 415 0.10
145 Monson 3 10 124 107 113 145 158 113 416 0.10
146 Dedham 0 15 138 68 147 150 117 151 418 0.10
147 Dracut 0 14 153 83 148 139 135 145 419 0.10
148 Old Rochester Cl 0 9 159 158 109 159 159 109 427 0.10
149 Northbridge 2 11 151 133 128 151 152 128 431 0.10
150 Gloucester, MA 0 13 148 102 144 154 136 143 433 0.10
151 Doherty-Worceste 2 12 154 154 133 153 150 134 437 0.10
152 Watertown, MA 2 13 132 103 142 143 157 141 441 0.10
153 Sturgis Charter 1 11 156 159 129 158 156 129 443 0.10
154 Tewksbury Memori 0 16 147 80 157 148 139 157 444 0.10
155 Malden 3 15 144 137 153 152 140 153 445 0.10
156 Mashpee 0 13 158 145 136 156 153 136 445 0.10
157 Fontbonne Academ 0 13 149 119 143 155 149 142 446 0.10
158 Fairhaven 3 17 152 153 159 149 141 159 449 0.10
159 Cambridge R-L 0 14 157 140 151 157 151 150 458 0.10
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