girls probabilites for 31
2011 girls MD-Public
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Westminster, MD 16 1 2 7 2 1 5 2 8 14.00
2 Winston Churchil 15 1 23 64 10 2 2 4 8 0.10
3 Marriotts Ridge 18 1 1 17 1 5 3 1 9 32.00
4 Mt. Hebron 16 2 6 9 3 7 1 6 14 2.00
5 Winters Mill 15 3 5 2 4 3 6 5 14 12.00
6 Severna Park 17 4 4 39 5 8 14 3 25 10.00
7 Sherwood, MD 12 3 36 71 30 10 7 11 28 0.10
8 Century, MD 15 3 3 6 6 4 19 7 30 14.00
9 C. M. Wright 12 4 11 10 11 12 8 13 33 0.10
10 Broadneck 14 4 9 33 8 13 12 10 35 0.10
11 Liberty, MD 10 6 13 3 15 14 11 24 49 3.00
12 Leonardtown 14 3 14 80 14 20 13 17 50 0.10
13 Wootton 9 5 44 67 35 11 26 18 55 0.10
14 Damascus 11 3 40 81 23 19 22 16 57 0.10
15 Queen Anne's Cou 16 1 19 59 9 15 37 8 60 0.10
16 Towson HS 10 4 18 20 20 17 21 30 68 0.10
17 Walter Johnson 11 3 38 90 32 22 40 12 74 0.10
18 South Carroll 7 8 26 4 40 18 4 53 75 0.10
19 Poolesville 9 4 51 85 47 24 20 36 80 0.10
20 Dulaney 14 3 7 19 12 16 54 14 84 4.00
21 Parkside 11 4 30 69 39 32 17 35 84 0.10
22 Middletown, MD 14 3 25 66 13 30 45 15 90 0.10
23 Fallston 15 3 8 12 7 9 74 9 92 6.00
24 Patuxent 11 2 34 102 19 29 43 22 94 0.10
25 Howard 10 7 27 24 42 38 9 49 96 0.10
26 Annapolis, MD 9 5 22 37 27 36 31 32 99 0.10
27 Stephen Decatur, 12 5 28 62 22 27 52 21 100 0.10
28 River Hill 9 5 21 34 26 34 36 31 101 0.10
29 Centennial, MD 11 5 16 43 17 35 46 23 104 1.00
30 Glenelg HS 11 5 10 22 24 23 57 27 107 1.00
31 South River 12 4 15 35 16 28 59 20 107 1.00
32 Manchester Valle 11 5 12 25 18 26 68 19 113 0.10
33 Richard Montgome 9 5 58 98 60 40 35 41 116 0.10
34 Sparrows Point 2 1 43 61 28 6 82 28 116 0.10
35 Francis Scott Ke 5 8 49 14 52 48 16 56 120 0.10
36 Linganore 11 6 33 42 34 31 55 34 120 0.10
37 Perry Hall 9 6 20 31 46 39 32 51 122 0.10
38 Urbana 6 7 52 29 51 47 24 54 125 0.10
39 Blake, MD 8 5 57 104 61 45 47 37 129 0.10
40 Hereford 4 8 24 1 41 21 72 47 140 0.10
41 North Harford 9 7 17 8 21 25 90 25 140 0.10
42 Bel Air 7 7 32 30 37 37 62 43 142 0.10
43 North Carroll 5 9 42 13 69 46 15 81 142 0.10
44 Northern, Calver 8 6 56 92 64 53 25 66 144 0.10
45 Calvert 9 3 45 110 33 42 71 33 146 0.10
46 North East, Ceci 9 4 53 95 36 43 64 39 146 0.10
47 Patterson Mill 8 10 35 27 74 41 27 83 151 0.10
48 Whitman, MD 5 9 87 76 112 57 18 85 160 0.10
49 Loch Raven 5 7 31 5 31 33 91 38 162 0.10
50 Walkersville 6 8 62 51 85 56 29 77 162 0.10
51 Chesapeake, Pasa 4 7 47 26 75 55 33 75 163 0.10
52 Atholton 6 7 39 28 65 59 34 71 164 0.10
53 Thomas Stone 7 6 75 91 71 60 41 70 171 0.10
54 Reservoir 6 10 54 36 90 68 10 95 173 0.10
55 Northwest, MD 7 6 70 82 66 49 79 48 176 0.10
56 Southern, Anne A 8 6 37 40 53 51 65 60 176 0.10
57 Arundel 4 9 41 23 87 58 23 96 177 0.10
58 Easton, MD 5 5 46 46 54 44 96 44 184 0.10
59 Bethesda-Chevy C 5 7 79 87 91 70 49 68 187 0.10
60 Havre De Grace 9 4 61 116 45 61 88 45 194 0.10
61 Catonsville 5 8 29 15 49 52 81 62 195 0.10
62 Dundalk 1 2 95 106 38 54 101 40 195 0.10
63 Springbrook 6 5 77 109 67 62 73 61 196 0.10
64 Huntingtown 10 6 50 73 43 50 99 50 199 0.10
65 Gaithersburg 5 9 89 93 110 73 30 97 200 0.10
66 Patapsco 10 2 68 128 25 64 111 26 201 0.10
67 Elkton 8 5 64 117 63 67 77 64 208 0.10
68 Carver A-T, Balt 7 2 73 129 29 65 120 29 214 0.10
69 Great Mills 6 7 84 99 89 74 53 87 214 0.10
70 Kenwood 2 5 76 32 58 83 67 65 215 0.10
71 Paint Branch 4 10 98 88 121 77 28 110 215 0.10
72 Chopticon 5 7 85 78 81 69 69 84 222 0.10
73 La Plata 5 7 88 74 82 66 85 80 231 0.10
74 J.M. Bennett 5 8 63 70 101 81 51 103 235 0.10
75 Kent Island 7 9 55 56 98 63 83 89 235 0.10
76 Frederick 7 8 69 65 92 75 60 101 236 0.10
77 Rockville 8 4 81 124 48 76 116 46 238 0.10
78 Montgomery Blair 4 9 99 101 113 86 48 105 239 0.10
79 Edgewood 8 5 71 119 62 79 102 63 244 0.10
80 Long Reach 2 8 66 11 83 78 76 90 244 0.10
81 Gov. Thomas John 4 9 60 60 100 84 56 106 246 0.10
82 Old Mill 4 8 72 49 84 85 70 91 246 0.10
83 Seneca Valley, M 5 8 107 115 102 87 66 93 246 0.10
84 Oakland Mills 2 11 80 18 111 90 39 119 248 0.10
85 Aberdeen 2 11 92 53 116 97 38 118 253 0.10
86 Wilde Lake 1 10 97 16 106 93 50 113 256 0.10
87 Franklin, MD 4 5 48 48 55 82 118 57 257 0.10
88 Harford Tech 1 8 96 44 93 94 61 102 257 0.10
89 North Point 3 10 108 83 119 98 42 117 257 0.10
90 Eastern Technica 2 6 65 38 76 72 107 79 258 0.10
91 Rising Sun 3 7 106 94 96 71 89 99 259 0.10
92 Watkins Mill 7 6 91 121 78 88 100 74 262 0.10
93 Western STES 0 4 121 103 68 95 103 67 265 0.10
94 Perryville 5 5 101 118 70 89 108 69 266 0.10
95 Northeast, MD 3 10 82 52 107 102 58 112 272 0.10
96 North County 5 7 67 54 72 80 114 82 276 0.10
97 Brunswick, MD 6 7 78 89 86 101 92 86 279 0.10
98 Overlea 0 2 128 113 44 109 128 42 279 0.10
99 Milford Mill 0 3 123 107 56 99 129 52 280 0.10
100 Kent County 3 7 74 68 95 96 97 88 281 0.10
101 Pikesville 2 5 59 50 50 110 112 59 281 0.10
102 Woodlawn 0 3 129 108 57 100 126 55 281 0.10
103 Quince Orchard 3 8 90 97 105 92 87 104 283 0.10
104 Lansdowne 6 5 93 126 59 106 125 58 289 0.10
105 Meade 1 14 110 47 129 117 44 129 290 0.10
106 North Caroline 3 8 100 72 99 103 93 94 290 0.10
107 Parkville 0 5 109 57 73 111 110 73 294 0.10
108 Tuscarora, MD 3 10 86 63 115 105 78 114 297 0.10
109 Catoctin 5 7 83 75 88 91 115 92 298 0.10
110 Hammond 1 12 104 21 114 108 75 120 303 0.10
111 Cambridge-S Dorc 0 8 114 55 109 104 95 107 306 0.10
112 Owings Mills 0 5 105 45 79 126 104 76 306 0.10
113 Glen Burnie 0 9 111 41 103 112 84 111 307 0.10
114 Lackey 1 12 127 96 127 119 63 128 310 0.10
115 Joppatowne 3 7 94 114 94 107 106 98 311 0.10
116 Einstein 2 5 115 125 77 118 122 72 312 0.10
117 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 12 118 58 126 115 80 126 321 0.10
118 Chesapeake, Balt 0 5 119 112 80 124 124 78 326 0.10
119 Bohemia Manor 1 9 117 100 117 120 94 115 329 0.10
120 Wheaton, MD 2 8 116 120 108 116 105 109 330 0.10
121 Westlake, MD 0 10 126 77 124 113 98 123 334 0.10
122 Magruder 1 12 112 111 128 122 86 127 335 0.10
123 Northwood, MD 3 8 113 122 104 121 117 108 346 0.10
124 McDonough 1 11 122 86 125 114 109 125 348 0.10
125 Smithsburg 3 8 102 105 97 125 127 100 352 0.10
126 North Hagerstown 2 10 103 79 120 123 113 121 357 0.10
127 Kennedy, MD 0 9 125 123 118 129 119 116 364 0.10
128 Clarksburg 1 10 124 127 123 128 121 122 371 0.10
129 South Hagerstown 0 11 120 84 122 127 123 124 374 0.10
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