girls probabilites for 12
2011 girls Connecticut
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Daniel Hand 19 4 9 18 5 3 1 2 6 0.10
2 Cheshire HS 18 4 8 19 9 7 6 6 19 0.10
3 East Lyme 18 3 13 34 10 6 4 9 19 0.10
4 New Canaan 13 8 3 1 4 5 9 7 21 14.00
5 Staples 17 3 5 10 3 9 7 5 21 3.00
6 Glastonbury 15 5 4 7 6 1 17 4 22 8.00
7 Greenwich HS, CT 15 5 6 5 7 8 10 8 26 0.10
8 Fairfield Ludlow 12 7 10 6 11 13 2 13 28 0.10
9 Newtown 17 3 7 22 8 11 8 10 29 2.00
10 Danbury 11 8 17 8 13 14 3 16 33 0.10
11 Wilton 18 3 1 3 1 2 36 1 39 32.00
12 Hall, West Hartf 13 4 12 27 14 12 18 12 42 0.10
13 Conard 9 9 25 13 26 15 5 24 44 0.10
14 Ridgefield 11 7 11 12 16 17 15 19 51 0.10
15 Simsbury 11 6 18 17 17 10 27 14 51 0.10
16 Joel Barlow 13 7 15 23 20 19 11 25 55 0.10
17 Guilford, CT 15 5 16 37 15 18 28 11 57 0.10
18 Weston, CT 17 6 19 39 19 22 20 21 63 0.10
19 Darien 15 8 2 2 2 4 61 3 68 41.00
20 New Fairfield 12 7 20 26 22 23 19 26 68 0.10
21 Suffield HS 13 5 21 50 23 24 31 20 75 0.10
22 Fairfield Warde 8 9 22 16 28 31 16 29 76 0.10
23 Waterford, CT 15 5 29 64 21 20 38 18 76 0.10
24 Norwich Free Aca 9 9 46 46 42 28 12 37 77 0.10
25 Granby Memorial, 14 7 24 51 34 26 21 32 79 0.10
26 Haddam-Killingwo 16 2 14 69 12 16 50 15 81 0.10
27 Brookfield, CT 11 8 28 31 32 30 25 31 86 0.10
28 South Windsor 7 10 32 15 29 21 42 23 86 0.10
29 Fitch 8 8 50 52 43 27 26 35 88 0.10
30 Avon 8 8 30 35 39 33 22 34 89 0.10
31 New Milford 10 7 23 28 25 32 30 30 92 0.10
32 Branford 6 11 45 21 48 36 13 46 95 0.10
33 North Branford 13 5 27 66 24 25 48 22 95 0.10
34 Norwalk 6 11 41 9 38 40 14 42 96 0.10
35 Farmington, CT 13 4 26 57 18 29 51 17 97 0.10
36 Pomperaug 9 7 35 33 30 35 37 33 105 0.10
37 Brien McMahon 6 10 37 11 33 38 29 39 106 0.10
38 Northwest Cathol 8 9 38 30 45 37 32 40 109 0.10
39 Hamden 7 11 43 29 51 44 24 48 116 0.10
40 Southington 7 9 33 25 46 34 41 43 118 0.10
41 Bethel 8 9 39 32 44 42 35 49 126 0.10
42 Immaculate Heart 9 8 42 48 40 43 39 45 127 0.10
43 Old Lyme 6 10 57 54 55 41 34 53 128 0.10
44 Amity 10 9 40 41 36 47 44 38 129 0.10
45 Stamford 7 9 31 24 35 49 40 44 133 0.10
46 East Catholic 11 6 36 60 27 39 68 28 135 0.10
47 Windsor, CT 10 6 34 61 31 46 62 27 135 0.10
48 St. Joseph, CT 2 14 51 14 56 54 23 60 137 0.10
49 Morgan School 7 9 53 62 52 45 46 52 143 0.10
50 Sacred Heart Aca 8 10 48 45 50 50 45 50 145 0.10
51 Ledyard 11 7 47 73 37 48 67 36 151 0.10
52 Westhill, CT 0 11 65 4 49 58 43 51 152 0.10
53 Masuk 6 10 44 43 53 51 53 54 158 0.10
54 Ellington 5 10 55 55 59 57 57 57 171 0.10
55 Stonington 7 10 61 71 57 52 64 55 171 0.10
56 Watertown, CT 5 8 64 63 47 55 69 47 171 0.10
57 Woodstock Academ 4 12 72 59 66 59 49 63 171 0.10
58 Trumbull 4 12 49 20 54 56 59 58 173 0.10
59 Berlin 4 12 56 38 67 53 60 64 177 0.10
60 Lauralton Hall 3 12 58 36 65 62 47 68 177 0.10
61 Shelton 10 7 52 75 41 63 74 41 178 0.10
62 Canton, CT 1 15 75 40 78 68 33 78 179 0.10
63 Old Saybrook 4 11 67 68 61 65 55 62 182 0.10
64 St. Bernard, CT 4 11 66 65 62 61 63 61 185 0.10
65 Newington 3 12 54 49 71 60 56 71 187 0.10
66 Mercy, CT 4 12 59 47 60 64 65 59 188 0.10
67 Bunnell 3 13 62 42 70 66 54 73 193 0.10
68 Stratford 2 14 71 44 75 71 52 76 199 0.10
69 Bacon Academy 5 10 68 77 58 70 76 56 202 0.10
70 Somers, CT 4 12 60 56 69 67 66 69 202 0.10
71 Valley Regional 4 11 69 70 63 69 70 65 204 0.10
72 Notre Dame-Fairf 1 15 74 53 77 74 58 77 209 0.10
73 Housatonic Regio 5 11 70 76 64 72 75 66 213 0.10
74 West Haven 4 13 63 67 73 73 72 70 215 0.10
75 Lewis Mills 2 13 77 72 76 75 71 75 221 0.10
76 North Haven 0 12 73 58 72 76 73 72 221 0.10
77 Capital Prep 1 11 78 78 68 78 78 67 223 0.10
78 Wheeler, CT 0 12 76 74 74 77 77 74 228 0.10
<