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Region = MD 4A-3A Nickname = D Patriots Coach = Anne Marie RitzellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.3589325 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 322 A Walter Johnson MD 4A-3A (11- 3, 81.4) 12-16 326 A Bullis School DC ISL AA (12-11, 80.0) 11-14 330 A Winston Churchill MD 4A-3A (15- 1, 85.9) 8-13 404 H Richard Montgomery, MD MD 4A-3A ( 9- 5, 74.4) 19- 8 407 H Gaithersburg MD 4A-3A ( 5- 9, 68.1) 17- 8 411 A Whitman, MD MD 4A-3A ( 5- 9, 68.3) 18-10 430 A Blake, MD MD 4A-3A ( 8- 5, 74.9) 18- 7 502 H Sherwood, MD MD 4A-3A (12- 3, 81.8) 10- 9 503 H Northwest, MD MD 4A-3A ( 7- 6, 72.1) 16-15 504 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase MD 4A-3A ( 5- 7, 70.0) 11-10 507 H Holton-Arms School DC ISL AA ( 4- 9, 75.0) 10-14 509 H Quince Orchard MD 4A-3A ( 3- 8, 67.5) 17-12 512 H Montgomery Blair MD 4A-3A ( 4- 9, 65.7) 20- 9 514 A Winston Churchill MD 4A-3A (15- 1, 85.9) 10-12 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Walter Johnson 12-16 -4 -2 -1.20 326 A Bullis School 11-14 -3 -1 n/a 330 A Winston Churchill 8-13 -5 -7 + 2.29 404 H Richard Montgomery, MD 19- 8 11 5 ++ 4.70 407 H Gaithersburg 17- 8 9 11 -1.00 411 A Whitman, MD 18-10 8 10 - -2.00 430 A Blake, MD 18- 7 11 3 +++ 6.22 502 H Sherwood, MD 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.15 503 H Northwest, MD 16-15 1 7 --- -6.58 504 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 11-10 1 8 --- -7.66 507 H Holton-Arms School 10-14 -4 5 n/a 509 H Quince Orchard 17-12 5 12 -- -5.00 512 H Montgomery Blair 20- 9 11 13 0.00 514 A Winston Churchill 10-12 o -2 -7 ++ 5.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Northwest, MD 16-15 1 7 --- -6.58 504 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 11-10 1 8 --- -7.66 507 H Holton-Arms School 10-14 -4 5 --- 509 H Quince Orchard 17-12 5 12 -- -5.00 411 A Whitman, MD 18-10 8 10 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Blake, MD 18- 7 11 3 +++ 6.22 404 H Richard Montgomery, MD 19- 8 11 5 ++ 4.70 514 A Winston Churchill 10-12 o -2 -7 ++ 5.29 330 A Winston Churchill 8-13 -5 -7 + 2.29 502 H Sherwood, MD 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.15/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.16 Local Power Rank........... 44 Local SOS Rating......... 49.55 Local SOS Rank............. 67 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 129 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 35 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7