Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   Anne Marie Ritzell    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.3589325    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   (11- 3, 81.4)    12-16   
 326 A Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  (12-11, 80.0)    11-14   
 330 A Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   (15- 1, 85.9)     8-13   
 404 H Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 5, 74.4)    19- 8   
 407 H Gaithersburg           MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 9, 68.1)    17- 8   
 411 A Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 9, 68.3)    18-10   
 430 A Blake, MD              MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 5, 74.9)    18- 7   
 502 H Sherwood, MD           MD    4A-3A   (12- 3, 81.8)    10- 9   
 503 H Northwest, MD          MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 72.1)    16-15   
 504 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 7, 70.0)    11-10   
 507 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL AA  ( 4- 9, 75.0)    10-14   
 509 H Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 8, 67.5)    17-12   
 512 H Montgomery Blair       MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 65.7)    20- 9   
 514 A Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   (15- 1, 85.9)    10-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Walter Johnson         12-16      -4    -2          -1.20
   326 A Bullis School          11-14      -3    -1          n/a  
   330 A Winston Churchill       8-13      -5    -7    +      2.29
   404 H Richard Montgomery, MD 19- 8      11     5    ++     4.70
   407 H Gaithersburg           17- 8       9    11          -1.00
   411 A Whitman, MD            18-10       8    10    -     -2.00
   430 A Blake, MD              18- 7      11     3    +++    6.22
   502 H Sherwood, MD           10- 9       1    -2    +      3.15
   503 H Northwest, MD          16-15       1     7    ---   -6.58
   504 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   11-10       1     8    ---   -7.66
   507 H Holton-Arms School     10-14      -4     5          n/a  
   509 H Quince Orchard         17-12       5    12    --    -5.00
   512 H Montgomery Blair       20- 9      11    13           0.00
   514 A Winston Churchill      10-12  o   -2    -7    ++     5.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Northwest, MD          16-15       1     7    ---   -6.58
   504 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   11-10       1     8    ---   -7.66
   507 H Holton-Arms School     10-14      -4     5    ---        
   509 H Quince Orchard         17-12       5    12    --    -5.00
   411 A Whitman, MD            18-10       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Blake, MD              18- 7      11     3    +++    6.22
   404 H Richard Montgomery, MD 19- 8      11     5    ++     4.70
   514 A Winston Churchill      10-12  o   -2    -7    ++     5.29
   330 A Winston Churchill       8-13      -5    -7    +      2.29
   502 H Sherwood, MD           10- 9       1    -2    +      3.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.16 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.55 Local SOS Rank.............    67
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   129
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
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