Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Pete Friedman         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9150543    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Deer Park              NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 72.3)    19- 3   
 329 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 82.8)    13-10   
 331 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 89.3)    10- 7   
 404 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 73.0)    17- 8   
 407 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.6)    17- 5   
 409 H Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (10- 6, 87.8)    11- 8   
 412 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 69.8)    12- 2   
 414 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.3)    18-14   
 418 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 77.7)     9- 6   
 420 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 82.8)     8- 2   
 427 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)     7-11   
 429 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 88.0)    13-10   
 503 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 78.5)    12-11   
 505 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.4)    17-10   
 511 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)    10-16   
 517 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 89.8)     7- 8 3o
 523 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)    10- 9   
 525 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)     6-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Deer Park              19- 3      16    16           0.00
   329 H Middle Country         13-10       3     5    -     -2.96
   331 A West Islip             10- 7       3     0    +      3.78
   404 A Patchogue-Medford      17- 8       9    15          -1.00
   407 H Commack                17- 5      12    16           0.00
   409 H Rocky Point            11- 8       3     0    +      2.02
   412 H Walt Whitman, NY       12- 2      10    18           0.00
   414 A Smithtown West         18-14       4    10    ---   -6.00
   418 A Lindenhurst             9- 6       3    10    ---   -7.00
   420 A East Islip              8- 2       6     5           0.34
   427 A Ward Melville           7-11      -4     0    --    -4.78
   429 H Half Hollow Hills      13-10       3     0    +      2.17
   503 H West Babylon           12-11       1    10    ---   -9.00
   505 A Smithtown East         17-10       7    11    -     -3.00
   511 H Northport              10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   517 H Bay Shore               7- 8 3o   -1     0          -0.03
   523 H Ward Melville          10- 9       1     1          -0.10
   525 A Northport               6-19     -13   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Smithtown West         18-14       4    10    ---   -6.00
   418 A Lindenhurst             9- 6       3    10    ---   -7.00
   503 H West Babylon           12-11       1    10    ---   -9.00
   427 A Ward Melville           7-11      -4     0    --    -4.78
   329 H Middle Country         13-10       3     5    -     -2.96
   505 A Smithtown East         17-10       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Northport              10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   331 A West Islip             10- 7       3     0    +      3.78
   409 H Rocky Point            11- 8       3     0    +      2.02
   429 H Half Hollow Hills      13-10       3     0    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.65 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.20 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/