Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Kristen Zbrzezny      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3880920    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 74.5)    12- 1   
 411 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 80.4)    19-10   
 413 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 95.0)     7-16   
 414 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 86.8)    11-12   
 427 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 3, 94.8)    13-14   
 429 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 6, 83.6)     7-10   
 503 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 89.6)     8-15   
 505 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 76.1)    15- 6   
 509 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 99.4)     8-21   
 510 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 80.9)    15- 4   
 511 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 86.8)    11- 8   
 512 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 77.4)    15- 9   
 518 N Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 77.4)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A North Tonawanda        12- 1      11     9           0.33
   411 H Iroquois               19-10       9     6    +      2.23
   413 A West Seneca East        7-16      -9   -10           1.00
   414 H Williamsville North    11-12      -1     0          -1.44
   427 H Hamburg                13-14      -1    -7    +++    6.58
   429 A Williamsville South     7-10      -3     0    -     -3.64
   503 A West Seneca West        8-15      -7    -5          -1.61
   505 H Niagara-Wheatfield     15- 6       9    11          -1.00
   509 A Lake Shore              8-21     -13   -15           0.00
   510 H Sweet Home             15- 4      11     6    +      3.68
   511 H East Aurora            11- 8       3     0    +      2.60
   512 H Grand Island           15- 9       6     9    -     -3.83
   518 N Grand Island            8-10      -2     8    ---  -10.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 N Grand Island            8-10      -2     8    ---  -10.32
   429 A Williamsville South     7-10      -3     0    -     -3.64
   512 H Grand Island           15- 9       6     9    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Hamburg                13-14      -1    -7    +++    6.58
   411 H Iroquois               19-10       9     6    +      2.23
   510 H Sweet Home             15- 4      11     6    +      3.68
   511 H East Aurora            11- 8       3     0    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.70 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.29 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
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