Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Kerri Kilkenny        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7464676    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (19- 1, 96.2)     5-14   
 329 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 78.1)    12- 5   
 331 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 77.7)     8- 7   
 402 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (17- 4, 98.9)     7- 8   
 405 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 82.8)    16- 7   
 407 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)     7-20   
 412 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 88.0)    11-12   
 414 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 79.1)    10- 5   
 418 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 89.3)    12-14   
 427 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 88.6)    11- 7   
 429 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 81.7)    16- 9   
 503 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 89.8)     7-12   
 505 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 82.0)    15- 5   
 511 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.6)    19- 2   
 513 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.4)    14- 4   
 517 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 78.5)    19- 6   
 520 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.3)    19- 8   
 523 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 88.6)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Hauppauge               5-14      -9    -8          -0.68
   329 H North Babylon          12- 5       7     9    -     -2.74
   331 H Lindenhurst             8- 7       1    10    ---   -9.00
   402 A Yorktown, NY            7- 8      -1   -11          n/a  
   405 A Middle Country         16- 7       9     4    ++     4.29
   407 A Northport               7-20     -13   -12           0.00
   412 H Half Hollow Hills      11-12      -1     0          -0.89
   414 A Sachem North           10- 5       5     8    -     -3.44
   418 H West Islip             12-14      -2    -1          -0.60
   427 H William Floyd          11- 7       4     0    ++     4.78
   429 A Sachem East            16- 9       7     5           1.18
   503 A Bay Shore               7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.78
   505 H Connetquot             15- 5      10     5    ++     4.11
   511 A Commack                19- 2      17    14           0.00
   513 H Smithtown East         14- 4      10    10           0.00
   517 A West Babylon           19- 6      13     9           0.91
   520 H Smithtown West         19- 8      11     9           0.45
   523 A William Floyd           9-10      -1    -1           0.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Lindenhurst             8- 7       1    10    ---   -9.00
   329 H North Babylon          12- 5       7     9    -     -2.74
   414 A Sachem North           10- 5       5     8    -     -3.44
   503 A Bay Shore               7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Yorktown, NY            7- 8      -1   -11    +++        
   405 A Middle Country         16- 7       9     4    ++     4.29
   427 H William Floyd          11- 7       4     0    ++     4.78
   505 H Connetquot             15- 5      10     5    ++     4.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.71 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.40 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/