Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Carin Peterson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.4933624    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A South River            MD    4A-3A   (12- 4, 90.2)    11- 8   
 329 H Annapolis, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 9- 5, 86.1)    15- 7   
 401 A Southern, Anne Arundel MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 6, 81.7)    19- 3   
 405 A Meade                  MD    4A-3A   ( 1-14, 61.1)    21- 0   
 407 A Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (14- 4, 92.3)    12- 7   
 412 H Chesapeake, Pasadena   MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 7, 77.9)    21- 4   
 415 H Glen Burnie            MD    4A-3A   ( 0- 9, 59.8)    18- 0   
 421 N Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 4-13, 78.2)    11-15   
 423 N Severn School          MD    IAAM A  (11- 8, 84.6)    12-13   
 427 A North County           MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 7, 72.7)    21- 3   
 429 H Old Mill               MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 8, 71.6)    19- 0   
 502 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 6-10, 81.2)    10-13   
 503 A Arundel                MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 79.5)    21- 6   
 506 H Northeast, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 3-10, 69.4)    22- 0   
 510 N Mt. Hebron             MD    3A-2A   (16- 2, 95.1)     7- 8 2o
 512 H Chopticon              MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 7, 68.6)    20- 0   
 514 H Northern, Calvert      MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 6, 75.8)    18- 2   
 516 H South River            MD    4A-3A   (12- 4, 90.2)    12- 6   
 518 H Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (14- 4, 92.3)     9- 4   
 521 A Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   (15- 1, 85.9)    20- 3   
 525 N Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (16- 1, 98.2)    14- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A South River            11- 8       3     5    -     -2.05
   329 H Annapolis, MD          15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   401 A Southern, Anne Arundel 19- 3      16    13           0.00
   405 A Meade                  21- 0      21    34           0.00
   407 A Broadneck              12- 7       5     2    +      2.03
   412 H Chesapeake, Pasadena   21- 4      17    18           0.00
   415 H Glen Burnie            18- 0      18    36           0.00
   421 N Archbishop Spalding    11-15      -4    17          n/a  
   423 N Severn School          12-13      -1    11          n/a  
   427 A North County           21- 3      18    22           0.00
   429 H Old Mill               19- 0      19    24           0.00
   502 H St. Mary's, MD         10-13      -3    14          n/a  
   503 A Arundel                21- 6      15    15           0.00
   506 H Northeast, MD          22- 0      22    26           0.00
   510 N Mt. Hebron              7- 8 2o   -1     0          -1.71
   512 H Chopticon              20- 0      20    27           0.00
   514 H Northern, Calvert      18- 2      16    20           0.00
   516 H South River            12- 6       6     6          -0.08
   518 H Broadneck               9- 4       5     4           1.00
   521 A Winston Churchill      20- 3      17     9           0.67
   525 N Westminster, MD        14- 7       7    -2    +++    9.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 N Archbishop Spalding    11-15      -4    17    ---        
   423 N Severn School          12-13      -1    11    ---        
   502 H St. Mary's, MD         10-13      -3    14    ---        
   326 A South River            11- 8       3     5    -     -2.05
   329 H Annapolis, MD          15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   525 N Westminster, MD        14- 7       7    -2    +++    9.43
   407 A Broadneck              12- 7       5     2    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.79 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.16 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.7
/