Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Kara Thiede           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8551483    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H National Cathedral, DC DC    ISL A   (10- 7, 77.7)    11-12   
 317 A Sidwell Friends        DC    ISL A   ( 4-11, 68.3)    19-12   
 323 A St. Mary's Ryken       DC    WCAC    (10- 6, 80.1)    10- 9   
 331 A St. Andrew's ES, MD    DC    ISL A   ( 2-10, 65.0)    19- 8   
 407 H Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  (15- 7, 85.6)    12-13   
 412 A Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  (12-11, 80.0)    13-12   
 414 A Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL AA  ( 4- 9, 75.0)     9- 7   
 419 H Holy Cross, MD         DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 87.8)     6-17   
 420 H Elizabeth Seton        DC    WCAC    ( 5- 8, 74.6)    13- 9   
 426 A Potomac School         DC    ISL AA  ( 9- 7, 84.2)     9-16   
 428 A Madeira School         DC    ISL A   ( 8-10, 71.5)    15-13   
 429 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    (12- 9, 85.4)    10-11   
 503 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (31- 2, 99.0)     7-18   
 505 H Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL A   ( 9-10, 77.6)    11- 7   
 507 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (14- 4, 89.7)     5-16   
 510 A Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  (17- 5, 88.9)     4-15   
 513 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (14- 4, 89.7)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H National Cathedral, DC 11-12      -1     2    -     -3.18
   317 A Sidwell Friends        19-12       7     8          -1.65
   323 A St. Mary's Ryken       10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.17
   331 A St. Andrew's ES, MD    19- 8      11    12           0.00
   407 H Flint Hill School      12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.72
   412 A Bullis School          13-12       1    -3    ++     4.02
   414 A Holton-Arms School      9- 7       2     2          -0.03
   419 H Holy Cross, MD          6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.03
   420 H Elizabeth Seton        13- 9       4     5          -1.24
   426 A Potomac School          9-16      -7    -7           0.21
   428 A Madeira School         15-13       2     5    -     -3.46
   429 H Bishop Ireton          10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.53
   503 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  7-18     -11   -19           0.00
   505 H Holy Child, MD         11- 7       4     2           1.70
   507 A Georgetown Visitation   5-16     -11   -12           0.00
   510 A Episcopal, VA           4-15     -11   -11           0.00
   513 A Georgetown Visitation   6-18     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H National Cathedral, DC 11-12      -1     2    -     -3.18
   419 H Holy Cross, MD          6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.03
   428 A Madeira School         15-13       2     5    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A St. Mary's Ryken       10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.17
   407 H Flint Hill School      12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.72
   412 A Bullis School          13-12       1    -3    ++     4.02
   429 H Bishop Ireton          10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.42 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.60 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3
/