Region = NY    CHSAA            
   Nickname = Y Bayhawks             Coach  =   Michele O'Brien       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.9569397    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Glen Cove              NY B  Sec 8   ( 7- 6, 68.5)    15- 7   
 330 H Roslyn                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 7- 6, 71.6)     8- 7   
 402 H St. Francis Prep, NY   NY A  Indep   ( 0- 4, 57.6)    14- 4   
 409 H Long Island Lutheran   NY    Indep   (12- 2, 93.1)     6-16   
 411 H St. Mary's, NY         NY    CHSAA   ( 1- 3, 62.5)    14- 9   
 416 H Nightingale-Bamford    NY    Indep   ( 0- 6, 70.5)    14- 4   
 429 H Our Lady of Mercy, NYC NY    CHSAA   ( 5- 9, 81.4)  5
 430 A Sewanhaka              NY B  Sec 8   ( 6- 7, 65.7)    16-14   
 502 A St. Mary's, NY         NY    CHSAA   ( 1- 3, 62.5)    19-11   
 505 H St. John the Baptist   NY    CHSAA   (12- 9, 85.7)     4-13   
 506 H Mary Louis Academy     NY    Indep   ( 1- 5, 61.5)    14- 7   
 509 A St. Francis Prep, NY   NY A  Indep   ( 0- 4, 57.6)    13- 7   
 511 N Long Island Lutheran   NY    Indep   (12- 2, 93.1)    14-22   
 512 H New Hyde Park          NY B  Sec 8   ( 9- 7, 74.7)    17-21   
 514 H Mary Louis Academy     NY    Indep   ( 1- 5, 61.5)    22-13   
 516 A Holy Trinity, NY       NY    CHSAA   ( 4-12, 72.9)     8-16   
 519 H St. Francis Prep, NY   NY A  Indep   ( 0- 4, 57.6)    17- 3   
 524 H Mary Louis Academy     NY    Indep   ( 1- 5, 61.5)    18- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Glen Cove              15- 7       8     6          n/a  
   330 H Roslyn                  8- 7       1     3          n/a  
   402 H St. Francis Prep, NY   14- 4      10    18           0.00
   409 H Long Island Lutheran    6-16     -10   -17          n/a  
   411 H St. Mary's, NY         14- 9       5    13    --    -5.00
   416 H Nightingale-Bamford    14- 4      10     4          n/a  
   430 A Sewanhaka              16-14       2     7          n/a  
   502 A St. Mary's, NY         19-11       8    10    -     -2.00
   505 H St. John the Baptist    4-13      -9    -9           0.95
   506 H Mary Louis Academy     14- 7       7    14    -     -3.00
   509 A St. Francis Prep, NY   13- 7       6    14    --    -4.00
   511 N Long Island Lutheran   14-22      -8   -18          n/a  
   512 H New Hyde Park          17-21      -4     0          n/a  
   514 H Mary Louis Academy     22-13       9    14          -1.00
   516 A Holy Trinity, NY        8-16      -8     0    ---   -7.70
   519 H St. Francis Prep, NY   17- 3      14    18           0.00
   524 H Mary Louis Academy     18- 8      10    14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Holy Trinity, NY        8-16      -8     0    ---   -7.70
   411 H St. Mary's, NY         14- 9       5    13    --    -5.00
   430 A Sewanhaka              16-14       2     7    --         
   509 A St. Francis Prep, NY   13- 7       6    14    --    -4.00
   512 H New Hyde Park          17-21      -4     0    --         
   330 H Roslyn                  8- 7       1     3    -          
   502 A St. Mary's, NY         19-11       8    10    -     -2.00
   506 H Mary Louis Academy     14- 7       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Nightingale-Bamford    14- 4      10     4    ++         
   511 N Long Island Lutheran   14-22      -8   -18    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.15 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.02 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/