Region = MD    IAAM B           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Elizabeth Sellmayer   

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3225250    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 A Inst. of Notre Dame    MD    IAAM B  ( 0-15, 79.2)    12- 9   
 322 A Park School            MD    IAAM B  ( 9- 7, 92.9)     8-15   
 324 A Friends' School        MD    IAAM B  (13- 4, 97.0)    11-18   
 325 H Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 8, 83.7)     7-15   
 329 H Glenelg Country School MD    IAAM B  ( 4-12, 84.7)    15- 9   
 331 H Inst. of Notre Dame    MD    IAAM B  ( 0-15, 79.2)    14- 8   
 402 H St. Johns Cath. Prep   MD    IAAM B  (11- 8, 92.9)    10-12   
 406 H Annapolis Area CS      MD    IAAM B  ( 7- 8, 91.7)    15-21   
 411 H Mercy, MD              MD    IAAM B  (17- 1, 99.9)     7-17   
 414 H Friends' School        MD    IAAM B  (13- 4, 97.0)    12-13   
 416 A Cape Henlopen          DE    Henlop  (16- 2, 99.9)     1-21   
 419 A Glenelg Country School MD    IAAM B  ( 4-12, 84.7)     9-14   
 426 H Annapolis Area CS      MD    IAAM B  ( 7- 8, 91.7)    10-17   
 429 H Park School            MD    IAAM B  ( 9- 7, 92.9)     8-20   
 502 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 3-12, 73.2)     5-16   
 503 A Mercy, MD              MD    IAAM B  (17- 1, 99.9)     7-18   
 504 A St. Johns Cath. Prep   MD    IAAM B  (11- 8, 92.9)     9-15   
 505 A Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   ( 8-10, 82.2)     7-19   
 510 A Friends' School        MD    IAAM B  (13- 4, 97.0)    11-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Inst. of Notre Dame    12- 9       3     1           1.21
   322 A Park School             8-15      -7   -11    +      3.00
   324 A Friends' School        11-18      -7   -16    +      3.00
   325 H Catonsville             7-15      -8     0          n/a  
   329 H Glenelg Country School 15- 9       6     0    +++    6.17
   331 H Inst. of Notre Dame    14- 8       6     5           0.63
   402 H St. Johns Cath. Prep   10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.33
   406 H Annapolis Area CS      15-21      -6    -7           1.14
   411 H Mercy, MD               7-17     -10   -15           0.00
   414 H Friends' School        12-13      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   416 A Cape Henlopen           1-21     -20   -18          n/a  
   419 A Glenelg Country School  9-14      -5    -3          -1.25
   426 H Annapolis Area CS      10-17      -7    -7           0.14
   429 H Park School             8-20     -12    -8          -1.62
   502 A Garrison Forest         5-16     -11     8          n/a  
   503 A Mercy, MD               7-18     -11   -18           0.00
   504 A St. Johns Cath. Prep    9-15      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   505 A Patterson Mill          7-19     -12     0          n/a  
   510 A Friends' School        11-20      -9   -16           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Catonsville             7-15      -8     0    ---        
   502 A Garrison Forest         5-16     -11     8    ---        
   505 A Patterson Mill          7-19     -12     0    ---        

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Glenelg Country School 15- 9       6     0    +++    6.17
   402 H St. Johns Cath. Prep   10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.33
   414 H Friends' School        12-13      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   504 A St. Johns Cath. Prep    9-15      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   322 A Park School             8-15      -7   -11    +      3.00
   324 A Friends' School        11-18      -7   -16    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.74 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.17 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0-11 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0
/