Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Jason Bach            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.4997864    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 71.7)    13- 6   
 405 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 5-11, 72.2)    12-14   
 407 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-10, 59.3)    17- 6   
 408 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-12, 71.8)    12- 6   
 412 H Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (19- 2, 92.1)     2-17   
 415 H Schuylerville          NY C  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 81.1)    14-16   
 420 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 74.2)     9- 8   
 425 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   (11- 6, 82.5)     6-15   
 427 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-16, 72.2)    15-10   
 428 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (19- 2, 92.1)     5-17   
 503 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (17- 2, 89.2)     8-18   
 504 A Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 5-11, 72.2)    10- 3   
 506 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 74.2)    13-11   
 509 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-10, 59.3)    18- 3   
 512 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 1-12, 66.8)    12- 5   
 516 H Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 71.7)    13-10   
 517 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (17- 2, 99.9)     5-24   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Columbia, NY           13- 6       7     6           0.77
   405 H Holy Names Acad, NY    12-14      -2     6    ---   -8.70
   407 A Cohoes                 17- 6      11    18           0.00
   408 H Scotia-Glenville       12- 6       6     7          -1.12
   412 H Albany Academy SG       2-17     -15   -13           0.00
   415 H Schuylerville          14-16      -2    -2           0.17
   420 A Emma Willard            9- 8       1     3    -     -2.75
   425 A South Glens Falls       6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.45
   427 H Ballston Spa           15-10       5     6          -1.65
   428 A Albany Academy SG       5-17     -12   -14           0.00
   503 A Glens Falls             8-18     -10   -11           0.00
   504 A Holy Names Acad, NY    10- 3       7     5           1.28
   506 H Emma Willard           13-11       2     4    -     -2.73
   509 H Cohoes                 18- 3      15    19           0.00
   512 H Johnstown              12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   516 H Columbia, NY           13-10       3     7    --    -4.21
   517 H Guilderland             5-24     -19   -21           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Holy Names Acad, NY    12-14      -2     6    ---   -8.70
   425 A South Glens Falls       6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.45
   516 H Columbia, NY           13-10       3     7    --    -4.21
   420 A Emma Willard            9- 8       1     3    -     -2.75
   506 H Emma Willard           13-11       2     4    -     -2.73
   512 H Johnstown              12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.41 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.39 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/