Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Ed Manly              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.3368073    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Eastport-South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.0)     9-14   
 329 A Copiague               NY B  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 54.9)    15- 0   
 331 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 78.1)    16- 9   
 405 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 89.3)     8-18   
 407 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 82.0)    10- 5   
 412 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)     2-20   
 414 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)     5-10   
 420 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 81.7)     5- 8   
 425 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 62.6)    16- 7   
 426 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-12, 63.9)    14- 5   
 429 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.6)    14-13 2o
 503 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 82.8)     4-12   
 505 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 78.5)    13-12   
 511 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 67.3)    14- 5   
 513 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 89.8)     6-12   
 520 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 88.0)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Eastport-South Manor    9-14      -5    -8    +      3.03
   329 A Copiague               15- 0      15    24           0.00
   331 H North Babylon          16- 9       7     1    ++     5.86
   405 H West Islip              8-18     -10    -9          -0.00
   407 H Connetquot             10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.71
   412 A Northport               2-20     -18   -20           0.00
   414 H Ward Melville           5-10      -5    -8    +      3.44
   420 A Sachem East             5- 8      -3    -2          -0.22
   425 A Brentwood, NY          16- 7       9    16          -1.00
   426 H Riverhead              14- 5       9    15          -1.00
   429 A Commack                14-13 2o    1     6    --    -5.31
   503 A Middle Country          4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.11
   505 H West Babylon           13-12       1     0           0.19
   511 H Longwood               14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   513 A Bay Shore               6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   520 A Half Hollow Hills       7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Commack                14-13 2o    1     6    --    -5.31
   503 A Middle Country          4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Connetquot             10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.71
   520 A Half Hollow Hills       7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.03
   331 H North Babylon          16- 9       7     1    ++     5.86
   513 A Bay Shore               6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   324 A Eastport-South Manor    9-14      -5    -8    +      3.03
   414 H Ward Melville           5-10      -5    -8    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.11 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.93 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/