San Marin                     4 - 6


 
   Conf =  MCAL                      Region = CA    DII              
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Jay Maurer            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   71.5975266    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Sir Francis Drake      CA    DII     ( 1-15, 54.5)    13- 4   
 331 A Ursuline, CA           CA    DII     ( 7- 7, 73.5)     7-14   
 408 H Redwood                CA    DI      ( 7- 7, 76.4)     4-12   
 419 A Tamalpais              CA    DII     ( 1- 8, 60.6)    13-12   
 421 A Sir Francis Drake      CA    DII     ( 1-15, 54.5)     8- 6 2o
 426 H Lick Wilmerding        CA    Indep   (12- 9, 74.4)    11-13   
 428 A Marin Catholic, CA     CA    DII     (20- 2, 89.6)     4-22   
 429 A Berkeley, CA           CA    DI      (10-10, 78.3)     5-18   
 503 A University HS, SF      CA    DII     (11- 9, 75.4)     4-10   
 505 H Novato                 CA    DII     ( 2- 8, 62.6)    13-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Sir Francis Drake      13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   331 A Ursuline, CA            7-14      -7    -8           1.27
   408 H Redwood                 4-12      -8    -9           1.20
   419 A Tamalpais              13-12       1     4    -     -3.61
   421 A Sir Francis Drake       8- 6 2o    2    10    ---   -8.00
   426 H Lick Wilmerding        11-13      -2    -7    ++     5.17
   428 A Marin Catholic, CA      4-22     -18   -24           0.00
   429 A Berkeley, CA            5-18     -13   -13           0.00
   503 A University HS, SF       4-10      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   505 H Novato                 13-11       2     4    -     -2.66


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Sir Francis Drake       8- 6 2o    2    10    ---   -8.00
   419 A Tamalpais              13-12       1     4    -     -3.61
   505 H Novato                 13-11       2     4    -     -2.66


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Lick Wilmerding        11-13      -2    -7    ++     5.17
   503 A University HS, SF       4-10      -6   -10    ++     4.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.25 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.81 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7


  
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