Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Allison Bourgal       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7722626    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Miller Place           NY B  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 80.1)     8- 9   
 329 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 69.8)    16- 5   
 331 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 82.8)     8-13   
 405 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-12, 63.9)    15- 4   
 407 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 82.8)    10-11   
 414 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.6)    14- 9   
 416 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.4)    12- 7   
 420 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 79.1)     8- 5   
 425 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 73.0)    17- 8   
 427 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 78.1)    13-10   
 429 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)     9-16   
 503 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 82.0)    13-14   
 505 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 89.3)     9-14   
 509 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 62.6)    15- 1   
 513 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 78.5)     7- 6   
 517 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 67.3)    13- 6   
 520 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 82.8)     7- 5   
 523 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 89.8)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Miller Place            8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.48
   329 H Walt Whitman, NY       16- 5      11    12           0.00
   331 A East Islip              8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.75
   405 A Riverhead              15- 4      11    17           0.00
   407 A Middle Country         10-11      -1    -1           0.27
   414 H Commack                14- 9       5     9    --    -4.25
   416 A Smithtown East         12- 7       5     4           0.86
   420 H Sachem North            8- 5       3     2           0.22
   425 A Patchogue-Medford      17- 8       9     8           0.40
   427 A North Babylon          13-10       3     3          -0.44
   429 H Ward Melville           9-16      -7    -5          -1.18
   503 A Connetquot             13-14      -1     0          -0.59
   505 A West Islip              9-14      -5    -7    +      2.70
   509 H Brentwood, NY          15- 1      14    19           0.00
   513 H West Babylon            7- 6       1     3    -     -2.43
   517 A Longwood               13- 6       7    14    -     -3.00
   520 A East Islip              7- 5       2    -1    +      3.25
   523 A Bay Shore               6-15      -9    -8          -0.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Commack                14- 9       5     9    --    -4.25
   324 A Miller Place            8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.48
   331 A East Islip              8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.75
   513 H West Babylon            7- 6       1     3    -     -2.43
   517 A Longwood               13- 6       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A West Islip              9-14      -5    -7    +      2.70
   520 A East Islip              7- 5       2    -1    +      3.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.73 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.35 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/