Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.6068192    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 91.8)     6- 9   
 404 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 88.4)    11- 9   
 408 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 82.8)    13- 9   
 414 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 93.9)    11-12 2o
 419 A Nichols School         NY    Private (18- 1, 99.9)    17- 5   
 426 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 87.6)    18- 6   
 428 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 92.2)    16-14   
 430 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 88.4)     9- 7   
 503 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (21- 1, 99.9)     7-11   
 505 N Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 82.8)    17- 9   
 509 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.8)    13-14  o
 510 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (21- 1, 99.9)     6-12   
 511 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 93.9)    19-12   
 513 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 87.6)    10- 9  o
 517 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 92.2)     6-10   
 518 A Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   (12- 5, 85.0)    18- 5   
 524 H Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 82.5)    20- 6   
 526 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 92.2)    10- 7   
 601 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (21- 1, 99.9)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.77
   404 H Rush-Henrietta         11- 9       2     6    --    -4.42
   408 H Webster Schroeder      13- 9       4    11    ---   -6.00
   414 A Irondequoit            11-12 2o   -1     0          -0.69
   419 A Nichols School         17- 5      12    -6          n/a  
   426 H Webster Thomas         18- 6      12     7    +      2.76
   428 H Fairport               16-14       2     2          -0.60
   430 A Rush-Henrietta          9- 7       2     5    -     -3.21
   503 H Pittsford               7-11      -4    -5           1.10
   505 N Webster Schroeder      17- 9       8    11    -     -2.00
   509 H Victor                 13-14  o   -1     0          -0.97
   510 N Pittsford               6-12      -6    -5          -0.29
   511 H Irondequoit            19-12       7     0    +++    6.09
   513 A Webster Thomas         10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.02
   517 A Fairport                6-10      -4     1    --    -5.39
   518 A Penn Yan Academy       18- 5      13     8           1.37
   524 H Olympia-Arcadia        20- 6      14    12           0.00
   526 N Fairport               10- 7       3     1           1.00
   601 N Pittsford               9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Webster Schroeder      13- 9       4    11    ---   -6.00
   331 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.77
   404 H Rush-Henrietta         11- 9       2     6    --    -4.42
   513 A Webster Thomas         10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.02
   517 A Fairport                6-10      -4     1    --    -5.39
   430 A Rush-Henrietta          9- 7       2     5    -     -3.21
   505 N Webster Schroeder      17- 9       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Nichols School         17- 5      12    -6    +++        
   511 H Irondequoit            19-12       7     0    +++    6.09
   601 N Pittsford               9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.71
   426 H Webster Thomas         18- 6      12     7    +      2.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.19 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.35 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/