Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Kristen McGuinness    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2699280    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (12- 5, 92.8)     2-19   
 405 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 80.4)     9-14   
 407 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 95.0)     4-16   
 411 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 6, 83.6)     7-13   
 413 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 3, 94.8)     7-15   
 425 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 89.6)     3-12   
 429 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad    NY    Martin  (11- 4, 87.7)     8-12   
 505 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 85.7)     6-15   
 506 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10-10, 88.0)    11-13   
 509 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 77.4)    12-10   
 511 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 80.9)     9-13   
 513 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 74.5)    10-13   
 514 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 99.4)     9-21   
 518 N Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 80.9)    13-11   
 524 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 95.0)     5-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Amherst                 2-19     -17   -18           0.00
   405 A Iroquois                9-14      -5    -5           0.82
   407 H West Seneca East        4-16     -12   -17           0.00
   411 A Williamsville South     7-13      -6    -8    +      2.93
   413 H Hamburg                 7-15      -8   -17    +      2.00
   425 A West Seneca West        3-12      -9   -14           1.00
   429 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad     8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   505 A Williamsville East      6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   506 A Clarence               11-13      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   509 H Grand Island           12-10       2     0           1.74
   511 A Sweet Home              9-13      -4    -6    +      2.27
   513 H North Tonawanda        10-13      -3     3    ---   -6.12
   514 H Lake Shore              9-21     -12   -21           0.00
   518 N Sweet Home             13-11       2    -4    +++    6.76
   524 A West Seneca East        5-19     -14   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H North Tonawanda        10-13      -3     3    ---   -6.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad     8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   506 A Clarence               11-13      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   518 N Sweet Home             13-11       2    -4    +++    6.76
   411 A Williamsville South     7-13      -6    -8    +      2.93
   413 H Hamburg                 7-15      -8   -17    +      2.00
   511 A Sweet Home              9-13      -4    -6    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.13 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.57 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/