Novato                        2 - 8


 
   Conf =  MCAL                      Region = CA    DII              
   Nickname = A Hornets              Coach  =   P. Breckenridge       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   69.9771652    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A Christian Brothers, CA CA    SJS     ( 1-11, 63.2)    13- 7   
 315 A St. Francis, Sac       CA    SJS     (13- 4, 83.8)     4-17   
 316 H Bella Vista            CA    SJS     ( 8- 8, 68.7)     9-12   
 330 H Mercy, Burlingame      CA    WBAL-S  ( 9- 7, 72.8)     6-10   
 405 A Sir Francis Drake      CA    DII     ( 1-15, 54.5)     9- 6   
 407 A University HS, SF      CA    DII     (11- 9, 75.4)     5-16   
 419 H Marin Catholic, CA     CA    DII     (20- 2, 89.6)     4-24   
 427 A Lick Wilmerding        CA    Indep   (12- 9, 74.4)     5-15   
 428 A Redwood                CA    DI      ( 7- 7, 76.4)   
 503 H Tamalpais              CA    DII     ( 1- 8, 60.6)   
 505 A San Marin              CA    DII     ( 4- 6, 66.2)    11-13   
 518 A Ursuline, CA           CA    DII     ( 7- 7, 73.5)     6-21   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Christian Brothers, CA 13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.57
   315 A St. Francis, Sac        4-17     -13   -22           0.00
   316 H Bella Vista             9-12      -3    -5    +      2.07
   330 H Mercy, Burlingame       6-10      -4    -9          n/a  
   405 A Sir Francis Drake       9- 6       3     7    --    -4.04
   407 A University HS, SF       5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   419 H Marin Catholic, CA      4-24     -20   -25           0.00
   427 A Lick Wilmerding         5-15     -10   -12           0.00
   505 A San Marin              11-13      -2    -4    +      2.66
   518 A Ursuline, CA            6-21     -15   -11           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Sir Francis Drake       9- 6       3     7    --    -4.04


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Christian Brothers, CA 13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.57
   330 H Mercy, Burlingame       6-10      -4    -9    ++         
   316 H Bella Vista             9-12      -3    -5    +      2.07
   505 A San Marin              11-13      -2    -4    +      2.66




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 62.58 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.72 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0


  
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