Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lumberjacks          Coach  =   Brandon Schmitt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.2356873    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 85.7)     1-12   
 408 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 86.8)     1-10   
 411 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 77.4)     6-11   
 413 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 80.9)     4- 9   
 415 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 68.9)    13- 5   
 427 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 80.4)     5-13   
 429 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 68.9)    12-10   
 430 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 99.4)     1-21   
 505 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 6, 83.6)     9-16   
 509 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 3, 94.8)     3-15   
 510 A Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-10, 65.8)     8- 5   
 511 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 89.6)     3-15   
 513 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 76.1)    13-10   
 516 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 95.0)     1-19   
 524 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 99.4)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Williamsville East      1-12     -11    -9          -0.33
   408 H East Aurora             1-10      -9   -10           1.00
   411 H Grand Island            6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.65
   413 H Sweet Home              4- 9      -5    -4          -0.14
   415 H Eden                   13- 5       8     7           0.92
   427 H Iroquois                5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.59
   429 A Eden                   12-10       2     4    -     -2.06
   430 A Lake Shore              1-21     -20   -26           0.00
   505 A Williamsville South     9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   509 H Hamburg                 3-15     -12   -18           0.00
   510 A Springville-Griffith    8- 5       3     7    --    -4.18
   511 A West Seneca West        3-15     -12   -16           0.00
   513 A Niagara-Wheatfield     13-10       3    -3    +++    6.12
   516 H West Seneca East        1-19     -18   -18           0.00
   524 A Lake Shore              2-17     -15   -26           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Springville-Griffith    8- 5       3     7    --    -4.18
   411 H Grand Island            6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.65
   427 H Iroquois                5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.59
   429 A Eden                   12-10       2     4    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Niagara-Wheatfield     13-10       3    -3    +++    6.12
   505 A Williamsville South     9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.52 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.65 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
/