Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Hawks                Coach  =   Tara Buecker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7598572    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  (10- 4, 89.9)     2-10   
 321 A Hereford               MD    3A-2A   ( 4- 8, 85.6)     8-11   
 328 A Mercy, MD              MD    IAAM B  (17- 1, 99.9)    13-14   
 402 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (11- 8, 86.9)    13-18   
 405 H Fallston               MD    3A-2A   (15- 3, 94.1)     9- 8   
 407 A C. M. Wright           MD    4A-3A   (12- 4, 92.0)    10-14   
 412 A Harford Tech           MD    2A-1A   ( 1- 8, 66.3)    15- 1   
 414 H Aberdeen               MD    4A-3A   ( 2-11, 67.2)    14- 0   
 419 H Arundel                MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 79.5)    15- 4   
 423 A Mt. Hebron             MD    3A-2A   (16- 2, 95.1)    11-12  o
 423 N Towson HS              MD    3A-2A   (10- 4, 88.3)    17- 7   
 502 H Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 8, 85.0)    17-16 3o
 503 A Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   ( 8-10, 82.2)    20-15   
 506 H Bel Air                MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 7, 82.6)   
 514 H Aberdeen               MD    4A-3A   ( 2-11, 67.2)    18- 0   
 516 H Bel Air                MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 7, 82.6)    14-13   
 518 N Fallston               MD    3A-2A   (15- 3, 94.1)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H John Carroll, MD        2-10      -8     0          n/a  
   321 A Hereford                8-11      -3     2    --    -5.60
   328 A Mercy, MD              13-14      -1   -12          n/a  
   402 H St. Paul's SG, MD      13-18      -5     2          n/a  
   405 H Fallston                9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.89
   407 A C. M. Wright           10-14      -4    -3          -0.15
   412 A Harford Tech           15- 1      14    21           0.00
   414 H Aberdeen               14- 0      14    22           0.00
   419 H Arundel                15- 4      11     9           0.29
   423 A Mt. Hebron             11-12  o   -1    -6    ++     5.89
   423 N Towson HS              17- 7      10     0    +++    9.60
   502 H Maryvale Prep          17-16 3o    1     4          n/a  
   503 A Patterson Mill         20-15       5     6          -1.03
   514 H Aberdeen               18- 0      18    22           0.00
   516 H Bel Air                14-13       1     6    --    -5.63
   518 N Fallston                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H John Carroll, MD        2-10      -8     0    ---        
   402 H St. Paul's SG, MD      13-18      -5     2    ---        
   321 A Hereford                8-11      -3     2    --    -5.60
   516 H Bel Air                14-13       1     6    --    -5.63
   502 H Maryvale Prep          17-16 3o    1     4    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Mercy, MD              13-14      -1   -12    +++        
   423 N Towson HS              17- 7      10     0    +++    9.60
   405 H Fallston                9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.89
   423 A Mt. Hebron             11-12  o   -1    -6    ++     5.89
   518 N Fallston                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.71 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.82 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    78
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/