Mt. Vernon                    3 - 7


 
                                     Region = VA    Natl             
   Nickname = A Majors               Coach  =   Caroline Pickell      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   70.3210297    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 H South County, Lorton   VA    Pat     ( 2-10, 72.3)     8-18   
 322 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 0-13, 52.1)    18- 5   
 329 A James Madison, VA      VA    Lbrty   (21- 0, 99.9)     1-26   
 331 A Hayfield               VA    Natl    ( 8- 7, 76.7)     2-18   
 404 A Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    (10- 5, 78.2)     3-19   
 414 A Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 5- 9, 69.3)     5-20   
 425 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 1-11, 57.0)    19-16   
 426 H Yorktown, VA           VA    Natl    (12- 6, 79.9)     2-17   
 429 H Edison, VA             VA    Natl    ( 3- 9, 64.8)    13- 7   
 506 A Hayfield               VA    Natl    ( 8- 7, 76.7)     8-18   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H South County, Lorton    8-18     -10    -8          -1.63
   322 H Wakefield HS, VA       18- 5      13    11           0.00
   329 A James Madison, VA       1-26     -25   -37           0.00
   331 A Hayfield                2-18     -16   -14           0.00
   404 A Washington-Lee          3-19     -16   -15           0.00
   414 A Falls Church            5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.96
   425 A J.E.B. Stuart          19-16       3     5    -     -2.25
   426 H Yorktown, VA            2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   429 H Edison, VA             13- 7       6     0    +++    6.83
   506 A Hayfield                8-18     -10   -14           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Falls Church            5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.96
   425 A J.E.B. Stuart          19-16       3     5    -     -2.25


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Edison, VA             13- 7       6     0    +++    6.83




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.12 Local Power Rank...........    88
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.63 Local SOS Rank.............    64
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    89
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    67
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    67
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -25.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -25.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -25.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3


  
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