Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Mustangs             Coach  =   Kelli Finn Swanson    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7318268    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Irondale               MN    MSHSL   ( 4-10, 79.8)    12- 7   
 412 A Centennial, MN         MN    MSHSL   (10- 4, 88.3)    12-15  o
 414 A Hill-Murray School     MN    MSHSL   ( 5- 9, 82.3)    13- 6   
 420 H White Bear Lake        MN    MSHSL   ( 3- 8, 80.4)    11- 6   
 421 H Apple Valley           MN    MSHSL   (12- 4, 92.2)     2-10   
 425 H Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   (11- 4, 89.3)     9- 5   
 427 H Woodbury-East Ridge    MN    MSHSL   ( 5- 7, 81.4)    12- 4   
 502 A Park of Cottage Grove  MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 8, 86.2)    12- 7   
 504 A Forest Lake            MN    MSHSL   ( 2-10, 77.1)    18- 8   
 509 A Cretin-Derham Hall     MN    MSHSL   (12- 3, 91.4)     8-18   
 511 H Stillwater             MN    MSHSL   (14- 4, 95.7)     3-14   
 516 H Roseville Area         MN    MSHSL   (10- 4, 91.6)    11-13   
 525 H Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   (11- 4, 89.3)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Irondale               12- 7       5     7    -     -2.38
   412 A Centennial, MN         12-15  o   -3    -2          -0.71
   414 A Hill-Murray School     13- 6       7     3    +      3.30
   420 H White Bear Lake        11- 6       5     6          -1.78
   421 H Apple Valley            2-10      -8    -5    -     -2.94
   425 H Mahtomedi               9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.18
   427 H Woodbury-East Ridge    12- 4       8     5    +      2.26
   502 A Park of Cottage Grove  12- 7       5     0    ++     5.18
   504 A Forest Lake            18- 8      10     8           1.12
   509 A Cretin-Derham Hall      8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.54
   511 H Stillwater              3-14     -11    -8          -1.46
   516 H Roseville Area         11-13      -2    -4    +      2.41
   525 H Mahtomedi               5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Cretin-Derham Hall      8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.54
   525 H Mahtomedi               5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.82
   407 H Irondale               12- 7       5     7    -     -2.38
   421 H Apple Valley            2-10      -8    -5    -     -2.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Mahtomedi               9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.18
   502 A Park of Cottage Grove  12- 7       5     0    ++     5.18
   414 A Hill-Murray School     13- 6       7     3    +      3.30
   427 H Woodbury-East Ridge    12- 4       8     5    +      2.26
   516 H Roseville Area         11-13      -2    -4    +      2.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.57 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.22 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/