Region = NJ    Grp 3N           
   Nickname = J Colonials            Coach  =   M. I. Scorsune        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.7637253    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 N Pequannock Township    NJ    Grp 1N  ( 5- 9, 74.3)    11- 9   
 404 A Verona, NJ             NJ    Grp 1N  ( 4-14, 73.5)     7- 3   
 406 H Caldwell               NJ    Grp 1N  (14- 6, 87.0)     6-19   
 408 A Morris Knolls          NJ    Grp 4N  (14- 3, 89.3)     5-10   
 414 A Montclair Kimberley    NJ    Grp 1N  (10-10, 78.0)    11-15   
 416 H West Morris Central    NJ    Grp 3N  (13- 7, 89.6)     7-17   
 418 H Roxbury                NJ    Grp 3N  ( 8-12, 76.2)     5- 6   
 423 A Villa Walsh Academy    NJ    Grp 1N  (10- 9, 80.0)     6- 4   
 426 H Kinnelon               NJ    Grp 1N  ( 7- 9, 81.5)     8- 9   
 430 A Chatham                NJ    Grp 2N  (20- 5, 95.5)     6-17   
 502 A Watchung Hills         NJ    Grp 4N  ( 0-16, 69.1)     9- 4   
 507 H Morristown-Beard       NJ    Grp 1N  ( 6-12, 75.4)     6- 7   
 509 H Millburn               NJ    Grp 3N  (10- 8, 83.0)    12-17   
 511 A Villa Walsh Academy    NJ    Grp 1N  (10- 9, 80.0)     8- 7   
 513 H Governor Livingston    NJ    Grp 2N  ( 9- 9, 74.6)    12- 8   
 514 A Newark Academy, NJ     NJ    Grp 1N  ( 3-11, 69.3)    18- 8   
 516 A Princeton HS           NJ    Grp 3N  (11- 5, 85.4)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Pequannock Township    11- 9       2     3          -1.69
   404 A Verona, NJ              7- 3       4     3           0.77
   406 H Caldwell                6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.11
   408 A Morris Knolls           5-10      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   414 A Montclair Kimberley    11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.74
   416 H West Morris Central     7-17     -10   -10           0.00
   418 H Roxbury                 5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.91
   423 A Villa Walsh Academy     6- 4       2    -3    ++     5.21
   426 H Kinnelon                8- 9      -1    -2           1.33
   430 A Chatham                 6-17     -11   -18           0.00
   502 A Watchung Hills          9- 4       5     7    -     -2.60
   507 H Morristown-Beard        6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.77
   509 H Millburn               12-17      -5    -3          -1.14
   511 A Villa Walsh Academy     8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.21
   513 H Governor Livingston    12- 8       4     4          -0.57
   514 A Newark Academy, NJ     18- 8      10     7    +      2.54
   516 A Princeton HS           11-14      -3    -8    ++     5.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Morristown-Beard        6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.77
   406 H Caldwell                6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.11
   414 A Montclair Kimberley    11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.74
   418 H Roxbury                 5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.91
   502 A Watchung Hills          9- 4       5     7    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Morris Knolls           5-10      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   423 A Villa Walsh Academy     6- 4       2    -3    ++     5.21
   511 A Villa Walsh Academy     8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.21
   516 A Princeton HS           11-14      -3    -8    ++     5.67
   514 A Newark Academy, NJ     18- 8      10     7    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.95 Local Power Rank...........    77
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.30 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   101
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    98
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   113
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/