Mercer Island                 6 - 5


 
                                     Region = WA    A                
   Nickname = A Islanders            Coach  =   Liz Shields           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   92.5773544    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Seattle Prep School    WA    A       ( 5- 7, 82.2)    13- 9   
 321 H Lake Sammamish         WA    A       ( 7- 4, 90.1)    15- 9   
 323 H Tacoma                 WA    A       ( 4- 7, 76.3)    22- 6   
 325 A Lakeside School        WA    A       ( 9- 3, 91.4)    12-12   
 331 H Eastside CS, WA        WA    A       ( 5- 7, 80.3)    16-18   
 414 H Snohomish              WA    A       (14- 3, 94.7)    10-15   
 420 A Holy Names Acad, WA    WA    A       ( 1-10, 71.0)    19- 7   
 422 A Issaquah               WA    A       ( 7- 5, 89.3)    11-15   
 427 A Bainbridge Island      WA    A       (14- 0, 99.9)     7-17   
 504 H Roosevelt, WA          WA    A       ( 2- 9, 73.6)    17- 4   
 506 A Bellevue               WA    A       ( 0-11, 69.7)    20-10   
 512 A Lakeside School        WA    A       ( 9- 3, 91.4)     9-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Seattle Prep School    13- 9       4     5          -1.67
   321 H Lake Sammamish         15- 9       6    -2    +++    8.27
   323 H Tacoma                 22- 6      16    11           0.00
   325 A Lakeside School        12-12       0    -3    +      3.60
   331 H Eastside CS, WA        16-18      -2     7    ---   -9.49
   414 H Snohomish              10-15      -5    -6           1.88
   420 A Holy Names Acad, WA    19- 7      12    16           0.00
   422 A Issaquah               11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.55
   427 A Bainbridge Island       7-17     -10   -12           0.00
   504 H Roosevelt, WA          17- 4      13    14           0.00
   506 A Bellevue               20-10      10    18           0.00
   512 A Lakeside School         9-11      -2    -3           1.60


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Eastside CS, WA        16-18      -2     7    ---   -9.49
   422 A Issaquah               11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.55


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Lake Sammamish         15- 9       6    -2    +++    8.27
   325 A Lakeside School        12-12       0    -3    +      3.60




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.82 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.56 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.0


  
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