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Region = MA No D1 Nickname = A Chieftains Coach = Bethann SwartzGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.0023575 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Wilmington MA No D2 ( 4-11, 68.1) 12- 6 408 H North Andover MA No D1 (15- 4, 84.0) 3-11 411 H North Reading MA No D2 ( 9-10, 70.2) 18- 2 414 H Marblehead MA No D2 (15- 5, 82.9) 13-12 415 A Lexington HS MA No D1 (11-11, 79.5) 7-10 420 A Concord-Carlisle MA No D1 (16- 4, 88.1) 11-20 422 H Newburyport MA No D2 (10- 9, 77.3) 16- 8 425 H Lynnfield MA No D2 ( 7-11, 68.6) 17- 6 429 A Hamilton-Wenham MA No D2 ( 2-12, 67.2) 19-11 502 H Triton Regional, MA MA No D2 (13- 7, 80.7) 19-16 o 504 A Georgetown, MA MA No D2 ( 9- 9, 74.2) 12-13 505 A Manchester-Essex MA No D2 ( 9-10, 75.6) 11-15 507 H Danvers MA No D2 (13- 6, 78.5) 13-10 509 H Pentucket Regional MA No D2 ( 9- 7, 78.6) 13-11 510 A Beverly MA No D1 (11- 6, 75.1) 15- 7 511 A Ipswich MA No D2 (18- 2, 85.2) 11-14 516 A North Andover MA No D1 (15- 4, 84.0) 6-10 520 A Triton Regional, MA MA No D2 (13- 7, 80.7) 7-15 523 H Bishop Fenwick, MA MA No D2 (16- 4, 79.2) 21-20 524 H Reading Memorial MA No D1 (15- 5, 83.9) 12-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Wilmington 12- 6 6 9 - -3.48 408 H North Andover 3-11 -8 -4 - -3.52 411 H North Reading 18- 2 16 9 0.70 414 H Marblehead 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.37 415 A Lexington HS 7-10 -3 -1 -1.06 420 A Concord-Carlisle 11-20 -9 -10 1.00 422 H Newburyport 16- 8 8 2 ++ 5.83 425 H Lynnfield 17- 6 11 10 0.00 429 A Hamilton-Wenham 19-11 8 10 - -2.00 502 H Triton Regional, MA 19-16 o 3 -1 ++ 4.21 504 A Georgetown, MA 12-13 -1 3 -- -4.42 505 A Manchester-Essex 11-15 -4 1 -- -5.99 507 H Danvers 13-10 3 0 + 2.00 509 H Pentucket Regional 13-11 2 0 1.04 510 A Beverly 15- 7 8 2 ++ 5.55 511 A Ipswich 11-14 -3 -7 ++ 4.64 516 A North Andover 6-10 -4 -6 + 2.39 520 A Triton Regional, MA 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.88 523 H Bishop Fenwick, MA 21-20 1 0 0.64 524 H Reading Memorial 12-19 -7 -4 - -2.61UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 A Georgetown, MA 12-13 -1 3 -- -4.42 505 A Manchester-Essex 11-15 -4 1 -- -5.99 520 A Triton Regional, MA 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.88 407 A Wilmington 12- 6 6 9 - -3.48 408 H North Andover 3-11 -8 -4 - -3.52 429 A Hamilton-Wenham 19-11 8 10 - -2.00 524 H Reading Memorial 12-19 -7 -4 - -2.61OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Marblehead 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.37 422 H Newburyport 16- 8 8 2 ++ 5.83 502 H Triton Regional, MA 19-16 o 3 -1 ++ 4.21 510 A Beverly 15- 7 8 2 ++ 5.55 511 A Ipswich 11-14 -3 -7 ++ 4.64 507 H Danvers 13-10 3 0 + 2.00 516 A North Andover 6-10 -4 -6 + 2.39/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.56 Local Power Rank........... 49 Local SOS Rating......... 54.46 Local SOS Rank............. 36 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 36 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 90 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 79 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7