Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Chieftains           Coach  =   Bethann Swartz        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.0023575    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Wilmington             MA    No D2   ( 4-11, 68.1)    12- 6   
 408 H North Andover          MA    No D1   (15- 4, 84.0)     3-11   
 411 H North Reading          MA    No D2   ( 9-10, 70.2)    18- 2   
 414 H Marblehead             MA    No D2   (15- 5, 82.9)    13-12   
 415 A Lexington HS           MA    No D1   (11-11, 79.5)     7-10   
 420 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   (16- 4, 88.1)    11-20   
 422 H Newburyport            MA    No D2   (10- 9, 77.3)    16- 8   
 425 H Lynnfield              MA    No D2   ( 7-11, 68.6)    17- 6   
 429 A Hamilton-Wenham        MA    No D2   ( 2-12, 67.2)    19-11   
 502 H Triton Regional, MA    MA    No D2   (13- 7, 80.7)    19-16  o
 504 A Georgetown, MA         MA    No D2   ( 9- 9, 74.2)    12-13   
 505 A Manchester-Essex       MA    No D2   ( 9-10, 75.6)    11-15   
 507 H Danvers                MA    No D2   (13- 6, 78.5)    13-10   
 509 H Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   ( 9- 7, 78.6)    13-11   
 510 A Beverly                MA    No D1   (11- 6, 75.1)    15- 7   
 511 A Ipswich                MA    No D2   (18- 2, 85.2)    11-14   
 516 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (15- 4, 84.0)     6-10   
 520 A Triton Regional, MA    MA    No D2   (13- 7, 80.7)     7-15   
 523 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     MA    No D2   (16- 4, 79.2)    21-20   
 524 H Reading Memorial       MA    No D1   (15- 5, 83.9)    12-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Wilmington             12- 6       6     9    -     -3.48
   408 H North Andover           3-11      -8    -4    -     -3.52
   411 H North Reading          18- 2      16     9           0.70
   414 H Marblehead             13-12       1    -3    ++     4.37
   415 A Lexington HS            7-10      -3    -1          -1.06
   420 A Concord-Carlisle       11-20      -9   -10           1.00
   422 H Newburyport            16- 8       8     2    ++     5.83
   425 H Lynnfield              17- 6      11    10           0.00
   429 A Hamilton-Wenham        19-11       8    10    -     -2.00
   502 H Triton Regional, MA    19-16  o    3    -1    ++     4.21
   504 A Georgetown, MA         12-13      -1     3    --    -4.42
   505 A Manchester-Essex       11-15      -4     1    --    -5.99
   507 H Danvers                13-10       3     0    +      2.00
   509 H Pentucket Regional     13-11       2     0           1.04
   510 A Beverly                15- 7       8     2    ++     5.55
   511 A Ipswich                11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.64
   516 A North Andover           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.39
   520 A Triton Regional, MA     7-15      -8    -3    --    -4.88
   523 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     21-20       1     0           0.64
   524 H Reading Memorial       12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Georgetown, MA         12-13      -1     3    --    -4.42
   505 A Manchester-Essex       11-15      -4     1    --    -5.99
   520 A Triton Regional, MA     7-15      -8    -3    --    -4.88
   407 A Wilmington             12- 6       6     9    -     -3.48
   408 H North Andover           3-11      -8    -4    -     -3.52
   429 A Hamilton-Wenham        19-11       8    10    -     -2.00
   524 H Reading Memorial       12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Marblehead             13-12       1    -3    ++     4.37
   422 H Newburyport            16- 8       8     2    ++     5.83
   502 H Triton Regional, MA    19-16  o    3    -1    ++     4.21
   510 A Beverly                15- 7       8     2    ++     5.55
   511 A Ipswich                11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.64
   507 H Danvers                13-10       3     0    +      2.00
   516 A North Andover           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.56 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.46 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    90
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    79
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/