Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.1567917    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (11- 6, 80.8)    21- 5   
 406 A Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (12- 3, 99.4)    12-10   
 411 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 1-11, 63.5)    14- 0   
 412 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 1-14, 64.3)    13- 2   
 414 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 73.0)    16- 3   
 416 H Glastonbury            CT    Class L (15- 5, 95.9)    16-10   
 421 A Belchertown            MA    West D1 ( 2-17, 64.1)    21- 0   
 423 A Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (22- 2, 90.5)     9-13   
 426 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 1, 91.8)    10-12   
 503 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (16- 5, 84.7)    14- 4   
 506 A Northampton            MA    West D1 (14- 6, 81.9)    16- 7   
 509 H Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (25- 0, 99.9)    15-15   
 511 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 75.9)    18- 8   
 512 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 1, 91.8)    11-13   
 514 A Deerfield Academy, MA  NE            ( 6- 9, 85.8)    18- 9   
 517 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 75.9)    18- 4   
 519 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (16- 5, 84.7)    13-11   
 520 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 7-11, 73.0)    17- 4   
 524 H Northampton            MA    West D1 (14- 6, 81.9)    17- 5   
 604 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 7-11, 73.0)    18- 3   
 608 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (16- 5, 84.7)    21- 6   
 611 N Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 1, 91.8)    11- 8   
 614 N Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (19- 3, 91.3)    14-11   
 617 N Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (25- 0, 99.9)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H South Hadley           21- 5      16    11           0.00
   406 A Loomis Chaffee School  12-10       2    -8          n/a  
   411 A Cathedral, MA          14- 0      14    27           0.00
   412 A West Springfield, MA   13- 2      11    26           0.00
   414 H Amherst-Pelham         16- 3      13    19           0.00
   416 H Glastonbury            16-10       6    -3          n/a  
   421 A Belchertown            21- 0      21    26           0.00
   423 A Andover, MA             9-13      -4     0    --    -4.09
   426 H Minnechaug             10-12      -2     0    -     -2.75
   503 H Agawam                 14- 4      10     7    +      2.13
   506 A Northampton            16- 7       9     8           0.28
   509 H Westwood, MA           15-15       0    -7    +++    7.37
   511 A East Longmeadow        18- 8      10    14           0.00
   512 A Minnechaug             11-13      -2    -1          -0.84
   514 A Deerfield Academy, MA  18- 9       9     5          n/a  
   517 H East Longmeadow        18- 4      14    16           0.00
   519 A Agawam                 13-11       2     5    -     -3.96
   520 H Westfield HS, MA       17- 4      13    19           0.00
   524 H Northampton            17- 5      12    10           0.00
   604 H Westfield HS, MA       18- 3      15    19           0.00
   608 H Agawam                 21- 6      15     7    +      2.13
   611 N Minnechaug             11- 8       3     0    +      3.20
   614 N Westborough            14-11       3     0    +      2.76
   617 N Westwood, MA            9-15      -6    -8    +      2.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Andover, MA             9-13      -4     0    --    -4.09
   426 H Minnechaug             10-12      -2     0    -     -2.75
   519 A Agawam                 13-11       2     5    -     -3.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Loomis Chaffee School  12-10       2    -8    +++        
   416 H Glastonbury            16-10       6    -3    +++        
   509 H Westwood, MA           15-15       0    -7    +++    7.37
   503 H Agawam                 14- 4      10     7    +      2.13
   514 A Deerfield Academy, MA  18- 9       9     5    +          
   608 H Agawam                 21- 6      15     7    +      2.13
   611 N Minnechaug             11- 8       3     0    +      3.20
   614 N Westborough            14-11       3     0    +      2.76
   617 N Westwood, MA            9-15      -6    -8    +      2.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.57 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.37 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/