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Region = MA West D1 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Steve DudeckGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.1567917 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H South Hadley MA West D1 (11- 6, 80.8) 21- 5 406 A Loomis Chaffee School NE (12- 3, 99.4) 12-10 411 A Cathedral, MA MA West D1 ( 1-11, 63.5) 14- 0 412 A West Springfield, MA MA West D1 ( 1-14, 64.3) 13- 2 414 H Amherst-Pelham MA West D1 ( 9- 8, 73.0) 16- 3 416 H Glastonbury CT Class L (15- 5, 95.9) 16-10 421 A Belchertown MA West D1 ( 2-17, 64.1) 21- 0 423 A Andover, MA MA No D1 (22- 2, 90.5) 9-13 426 H Minnechaug MA West D1 (17- 1, 91.8) 10-12 503 H Agawam MA West D1 (16- 5, 84.7) 14- 4 506 A Northampton MA West D1 (14- 6, 81.9) 16- 7 509 H Westwood, MA MA So D1 (25- 0, 99.9) 15-15 511 A East Longmeadow MA West D1 ( 8-10, 75.9) 18- 8 512 A Minnechaug MA West D1 (17- 1, 91.8) 11-13 514 A Deerfield Academy, MA NE ( 6- 9, 85.8) 18- 9 517 H East Longmeadow MA West D1 ( 8-10, 75.9) 18- 4 519 A Agawam MA West D1 (16- 5, 84.7) 13-11 520 H Westfield HS, MA MA West D1 ( 7-11, 73.0) 17- 4 524 H Northampton MA West D1 (14- 6, 81.9) 17- 5 604 H Westfield HS, MA MA West D1 ( 7-11, 73.0) 18- 3 608 H Agawam MA West D1 (16- 5, 84.7) 21- 6 611 N Minnechaug MA West D1 (17- 1, 91.8) 11- 8 614 N Westborough MA Cen D1 (19- 3, 91.3) 14-11 617 N Westwood, MA MA So D1 (25- 0, 99.9) 9-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H South Hadley 21- 5 16 11 0.00 406 A Loomis Chaffee School 12-10 2 -8 n/a 411 A Cathedral, MA 14- 0 14 27 0.00 412 A West Springfield, MA 13- 2 11 26 0.00 414 H Amherst-Pelham 16- 3 13 19 0.00 416 H Glastonbury 16-10 6 -3 n/a 421 A Belchertown 21- 0 21 26 0.00 423 A Andover, MA 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.09 426 H Minnechaug 10-12 -2 0 - -2.75 503 H Agawam 14- 4 10 7 + 2.13 506 A Northampton 16- 7 9 8 0.28 509 H Westwood, MA 15-15 0 -7 +++ 7.37 511 A East Longmeadow 18- 8 10 14 0.00 512 A Minnechaug 11-13 -2 -1 -0.84 514 A Deerfield Academy, MA 18- 9 9 5 n/a 517 H East Longmeadow 18- 4 14 16 0.00 519 A Agawam 13-11 2 5 - -3.96 520 H Westfield HS, MA 17- 4 13 19 0.00 524 H Northampton 17- 5 12 10 0.00 604 H Westfield HS, MA 18- 3 15 19 0.00 608 H Agawam 21- 6 15 7 + 2.13 611 N Minnechaug 11- 8 3 0 + 3.20 614 N Westborough 14-11 3 0 + 2.76 617 N Westwood, MA 9-15 -6 -8 + 2.33UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Andover, MA 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.09 426 H Minnechaug 10-12 -2 0 - -2.75 519 A Agawam 13-11 2 5 - -3.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Loomis Chaffee School 12-10 2 -8 +++ 416 H Glastonbury 16-10 6 -3 +++ 509 H Westwood, MA 15-15 0 -7 +++ 7.37 503 H Agawam 14- 4 10 7 + 2.13 514 A Deerfield Academy, MA 18- 9 9 5 + 608 H Agawam 21- 6 15 7 + 2.13 611 N Minnechaug 11- 8 3 0 + 3.20 614 N Westborough 14-11 3 0 + 2.76 617 N Westwood, MA 9-15 -6 -8 + 2.33/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.57 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 65.37 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 8.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 19- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0