Region = PA    Mid PA           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Peggy Barton          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2452698    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Carlisle               PA    Mid PA  ( 7- 9, 73.5)    16- 5   
 401 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid PA  ( 6-12, 72.3)     8- 3   
 402 A State College Area     PA    Indep   ( 7- 8, 73.1)    13- 4   
 404 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 80.8)    13-12   
 406 A Palmyra, PA            PA    Mid PA  ( 4-12, 69.2)     4- 5   
 411 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid PA  (17- 5, 87.7)    10-14   
 413 H Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (16- 4, 85.6)    12-15   
 414 A Conrad Weiser          PA    Indep   ( 0-15, 63.2)    17- 7   
 415 A Carlisle               PA    Mid PA  ( 7- 9, 73.5)    16- 9   
 420 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid PA  ( 6-12, 72.3)     8- 7   
 423 H Governor Mifflin       PA    Indep   (10- 8, 81.0)    10- 9   
 425 H Wilson, West Lawn      PA    Indep   (16- 5, 85.2)    12-13   
 427 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 80.8)    11-10   
 429 H Palmyra, PA            PA    Mid PA  ( 4-12, 69.2)    18- 5   
 502 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid PA  (17- 5, 87.7)     7-16   
 504 A Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (16- 4, 85.6)     9-11   
 510 A South Western          PA    York D1 (18- 3, 86.8)     9-19   
 512 H Cedar Crest            PA    LLL     ( 1-15, 67.0)   
 517 A Penn Manor             PA    LLL     (20- 5, 93.3)     8-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Carlisle               16- 5      11     7    +      2.48
   401 H Central Dauphin East    8- 3       5     8    -     -3.73
   402 A State College Area     13- 4       9     6    +      2.89
   404 A Central Dauphin        13-12       1    -1    +      2.56
   406 A Palmyra, PA             4- 5      -1    10    ---  -11.00
   411 H Cumberland Valley      10-14      -4    -6    +      2.68
   413 H Hershey                12-15      -3    -4           1.66
   414 A Conrad Weiser          17- 7      10    16           0.00
   415 A Carlisle               16- 9       7     5           1.20
   420 A Central Dauphin East    8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.00
   423 H Governor Mifflin       10- 9       1     0           1.01
   425 H Wilson, West Lawn      12-13      -1    -4    +      3.23
   427 H Central Dauphin        11-10       1     0           0.84
   429 H Palmyra, PA            18- 5      13    11           0.00
   502 A Cumberland Valley       7-16      -9    -8          -0.60
   504 A Hershey                 9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.38
   510 A South Western           9-19     -10    -7    -     -2.46
   517 A Penn Manor              8-20     -12   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Palmyra, PA             4- 5      -1    10    ---  -11.00
   420 A Central Dauphin East    8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.00
   401 H Central Dauphin East    8- 3       5     8    -     -3.73
   510 A South Western           9-19     -10    -7    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Hershey                 9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.38
   328 H Carlisle               16- 5      11     7    +      2.48
   402 A State College Area     13- 4       9     6    +      2.89
   404 A Central Dauphin        13-12       1    -1    +      2.56
   411 H Cumberland Valley      10-14      -4    -6    +      2.68
   425 H Wilson, West Lawn      12-13      -1    -4    +      3.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.12 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.44 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/