Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Raiders              Coach  =   Courtney Wilhelm      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2545700    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 71.5)    19- 8   
 317 H Tuscarora, VA          VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 50.3)    22- 2   
 321 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 81.7)    14-11   
 325 A Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 68.5)    18- 9   
 328 H Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 89.9)     7-17   
 331 A Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   (10- 6, 78.9)    16-17  o
 404 H Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 58.9)    16- 1   
 407 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 81.7)    12-14   
 411 A Woodgrove              VA    NW AA   (14- 7, 83.4)     7-19   
 414 H George Mason           VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 66.9)    20- 4   
 425 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 5- 9, 71.5)    21-14   
 428 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   ( 6- 7, 75.3)    19-14   
 502 A Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 2-11, 64.2)    15- 3   
 505 H Tuscarora, VA          VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 50.3)    23- 3   
 512 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   ( 6- 7, 75.3)    16-15   
 516 A Woodgrove              VA    NW AA   (14- 7, 83.4)    12-21   
 518 N Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   (10- 6, 78.9)    14- 7   
 523 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 3, 91.7)     5-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Potomac Falls          19- 8      11     9           0.83
   317 H Tuscarora, VA          22- 2      20    30           0.00
   321 A Freedom-South Riding   14-11       3    -2    ++     5.71
   325 A Heritage, VA           18- 9       9    10          -1.00
   328 H Loudoun Valley          7-17     -10    -9          -0.80
   331 A Briar Woods            16-17  o   -1     0          -1.06
   404 H Park View              16- 1      15    21           0.00
   407 H Freedom-South Riding   12-14      -2    -1          -0.96
   411 A Woodgrove               7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.54
   414 H George Mason           20- 4      16    13           0.00
   425 A Potomac Falls          21-14       7     7          -0.50
   428 H Broad Run              19-14       5     5          -0.39
   502 A Dominion               15- 3      12    14           0.00
   505 H Tuscarora, VA          23- 3      20    30           0.00
   512 H Broad Run              16-15       1     5    --    -4.39
   516 A Woodgrove              12-21      -9    -4    --    -4.54
   518 N Briar Woods            14- 7       7     0    +++    6.11
   523 A Western Albemarle       5-19     -14   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Woodgrove               7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.54
   512 H Broad Run              16-15       1     5    --    -4.39
   516 A Woodgrove              12-21      -9    -4    --    -4.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 N Briar Woods            14- 7       7     0    +++    6.11
   321 A Freedom-South Riding   14-11       3    -2    ++     5.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.82 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.40 Local SOS Rank.............    61
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    60
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/