Region = NJ    Grp 4S           
   Nickname = J Patriots             Coach  =   Katie Wagenblast      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0814362    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp 3S  ( 9- 8, 82.4)    15-13   
 405 A Colts Neck             NJ    Grp 3S  (19- 3, 87.9)     5- 9   
 407 H Marlboro, NJ           NJ    Grp 4S  ( 3- 9, 66.9)    18- 4   
 411 A Jackson Memorial, NJ   NJ    Grp 4S  ( 5- 9, 77.4)    10-12   
 412 A Howell                 NJ    Grp 4S  ( 5- 7, 75.1)    17-13   
 414 H Manalapan              NJ    Grp 4S  ( 8- 9, 75.5)    13- 6   
 420 A St. John Vianney       NJ    Grp 2N  ( 4- 9, 74.4)    13- 8   
 426 H Colts Neck             NJ    Grp 3S  (19- 3, 87.9)    11-10  o
 429 A Shore Regional         NJ    Grp 1S  (17- 4, 89.7)    10-12  o
 503 H Howell                 NJ    Grp 4S  ( 5- 7, 75.1)    16- 6   
 505 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp 3S  ( 9- 8, 82.4)    13-11   
 505 A Manalapan              NJ    Grp 4S  ( 8- 9, 75.5)    18- 9   
 506 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp 2N  (17- 5, 90.3)     7-16   
 511 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp 2S  (16- 3, 86.2)     5- 9   
 513 H Rancocas Valley        NJ    Grp 4S  ( 9-10, 80.8)    13- 9   
 514 A Marlboro, NJ           NJ    Grp 4S  ( 3- 9, 66.9)    15- 1   
 519 H Jackson Memorial, NJ   NJ    Grp 4S  ( 5- 9, 77.4)    11- 5   
 521 A Toms River North       NJ    Grp 4S  (14- 3, 87.7)     8-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Toms River South       15-13       2     2          -0.77
   405 A Colts Neck              5- 9      -4    -5           1.16
   407 H Marlboro, NJ           18- 4      14    18           0.00
   411 A Jackson Memorial, NJ   10-12      -2     5    ---   -7.33
   412 A Howell                 17-13       4     7    -     -3.68
   414 H Manalapan              13- 6       7     9    -     -2.62
   420 A St. John Vianney       13- 8       5     8    -     -3.30
   426 H Colts Neck             11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.75
   429 A Shore Regional         10-12  o   -2    -6    ++     4.94
   503 H Howell                 16- 6      10    10           0.00
   505 H Toms River South       13-11       2     2          -0.77
   505 A Manalapan              18- 9       9     7           1.79
   506 A Rumson-Fair Haven       7-16      -9    -7          -1.41
   511 H Red Bank Catholic       5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.92
   513 H Rancocas Valley        13- 9       4     4          -0.32
   514 A Marlboro, NJ           15- 1      14    15           0.00
   519 H Jackson Memorial, NJ   11- 5       6     7          -1.74
   521 A Toms River North        8-17      -9    -4    --    -4.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Jackson Memorial, NJ   10-12      -2     5    ---   -7.33
   521 A Toms River North        8-17      -9    -4    --    -4.02
   412 A Howell                 17-13       4     7    -     -3.68
   414 H Manalapan              13- 6       7     9    -     -2.62
   420 A St. John Vianney       13- 8       5     8    -     -3.30
   511 H Red Bank Catholic       5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Shore Regional         10-12  o   -2    -6    ++     4.94
   426 H Colts Neck             11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.94 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.04 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/