Region = CT    Class M          
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Pat Semancik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.0546570    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Bacon Academy          CT    Class M ( 5-10, 66.0)    13- 0   
 408 H Morgan School          CT    Class S ( 7- 9, 74.3)    15-12   
 409 H Old Lyme               CT    Class S ( 6-10, 71.3)     7- 7 2o
 411 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 9- 9, 77.1)     7-17   
 414 H Waterford, CT          CT    Class S (15- 5, 81.9)    16-14   
 416 A North Branford         CT    Class S (13- 5, 83.3)     6-12   
 419 H Ledyard                CT    Class M (11- 7, 77.1)    12-11   
 421 A Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M ( 4-12, 65.7)    21- 8   
 426 H East Lyme              CT    Class M (18- 3, 90.3)     3-18   
 503 A Stonington             CT    Class S ( 7-10, 70.2)    10- 6   
 505 H Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 9- 9, 77.1)     7-14   
 506 H North Branford         CT    Class S (13- 5, 83.3)     9-18   
 510 A Waterford, CT          CT    Class S (15- 5, 81.9)     7-17   
 516 H St. Bernard, CT        CT    Class S ( 4-11, 67.6)    16-10   
 517 H Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M ( 4-12, 65.7)    16- 6   
 519 A East Lyme              CT    Class M (18- 3, 90.3)     3-13   
 602 A Daniel Hand            CT    Class M (19- 4, 91.7)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Bacon Academy          13- 0      13     9           0.46
   408 H Morgan School          15-12       3     1           1.78
   409 H Old Lyme                7- 7 2o    0     4    --    -4.20
   411 A Norwich Free Acad       7-17     -10    -2    ---   -7.37
   414 H Waterford, CT          16-14       2    -6    +++    8.40
   416 A North Branford          6-12      -6    -8    +      2.76
   419 H Ledyard                12-11       1    -1    +      2.62
   421 A Woodstock Academy      21- 8      13     8           1.20
   426 H East Lyme               3-18     -15   -14           0.00
   503 A Stonington             10- 6       4     4          -0.35
   505 H Norwich Free Acad       7-14      -7    -1    --    -5.35
   506 H North Branford          9-18      -9    -7          -1.23
   510 A Waterford, CT           7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.62
   516 H St. Bernard, CT        16-10       6     7          -1.88
   517 H Woodstock Academy      16- 6      10     9           0.21
   519 A East Lyme               3-13     -10   -15           0.00
   602 A Daniel Hand             3-17     -14   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Norwich Free Acad       7-17     -10    -2    ---   -7.37
   409 H Old Lyme                7- 7 2o    0     4    --    -4.20
   505 H Norwich Free Acad       7-14      -7    -1    --    -5.35
   510 A Waterford, CT           7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Waterford, CT          16-14       2    -6    +++    8.40
   416 A North Branford          6-12      -6    -8    +      2.76
   419 H Ledyard                12-11       1    -1    +      2.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.00 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.81 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    43
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/