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Region = CT Class M Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Pat SemancikGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.0546570 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Bacon Academy CT Class M ( 5-10, 66.0) 13- 0 408 H Morgan School CT Class S ( 7- 9, 74.3) 15-12 409 H Old Lyme CT Class S ( 6-10, 71.3) 7- 7 2o 411 A Norwich Free Acad CT Class L ( 9- 9, 77.1) 7-17 414 H Waterford, CT CT Class S (15- 5, 81.9) 16-14 416 A North Branford CT Class S (13- 5, 83.3) 6-12 419 H Ledyard CT Class M (11- 7, 77.1) 12-11 421 A Woodstock Academy CT Class M ( 4-12, 65.7) 21- 8 426 H East Lyme CT Class M (18- 3, 90.3) 3-18 503 A Stonington CT Class S ( 7-10, 70.2) 10- 6 505 H Norwich Free Acad CT Class L ( 9- 9, 77.1) 7-14 506 H North Branford CT Class S (13- 5, 83.3) 9-18 510 A Waterford, CT CT Class S (15- 5, 81.9) 7-17 516 H St. Bernard, CT CT Class S ( 4-11, 67.6) 16-10 517 H Woodstock Academy CT Class M ( 4-12, 65.7) 16- 6 519 A East Lyme CT Class M (18- 3, 90.3) 3-13 602 A Daniel Hand CT Class M (19- 4, 91.7) 3-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Bacon Academy 13- 0 13 9 0.46 408 H Morgan School 15-12 3 1 1.78 409 H Old Lyme 7- 7 2o 0 4 -- -4.20 411 A Norwich Free Acad 7-17 -10 -2 --- -7.37 414 H Waterford, CT 16-14 2 -6 +++ 8.40 416 A North Branford 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.76 419 H Ledyard 12-11 1 -1 + 2.62 421 A Woodstock Academy 21- 8 13 8 1.20 426 H East Lyme 3-18 -15 -14 0.00 503 A Stonington 10- 6 4 4 -0.35 505 H Norwich Free Acad 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.35 506 H North Branford 9-18 -9 -7 -1.23 510 A Waterford, CT 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.62 516 H St. Bernard, CT 16-10 6 7 -1.88 517 H Woodstock Academy 16- 6 10 9 0.21 519 A East Lyme 3-13 -10 -15 0.00 602 A Daniel Hand 3-17 -14 -17 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Norwich Free Acad 7-17 -10 -2 --- -7.37 409 H Old Lyme 7- 7 2o 0 4 -- -4.20 505 H Norwich Free Acad 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.35 510 A Waterford, CT 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.62OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Waterford, CT 16-14 2 -6 +++ 8.40 416 A North Branford 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.76 419 H Ledyard 12-11 1 -1 + 2.62/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.00 Local Power Rank........... 50 Local SOS Rating......... 53.81 Local SOS Rank............. 52 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 27 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 28 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 43 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7