Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Geoff McMurtry        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.4586334    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 N Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 87.6)     8- 7   
 406 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 82.8)    12- 8   
 411 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 93.9)     8-10   
 413 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 88.4)     6- 5   
 416 A Jamesville-DeWitt      NY B  Sec 3   (12- 4, 79.6)    16- 7   
 421 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 94.6)    15- 3   
 428 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 94.2)    14-16   
 430 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 87.6)    12- 5   
 503 N Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 82.8)    15- 2   
 506 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 8, 92.3)     8- 7   
 509 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 93.9)     8- 9   
 511 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 88.4)     6- 7   
 512 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (21- 1, 99.9)     9-10   
 513 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (21- 1, 99.9)     7-10   
 517 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 94.2)    10- 6   
 518 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 91.8)     5-16   
 524 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 87.6)    11- 8   
 526 N Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 94.2)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 N Webster Thomas          8- 7       1     4    -     -3.63
   406 H Webster Schroeder      12- 8       4     9    --    -5.97
   411 H Irondequoit             8-10      -2    -1          -0.91
   413 H Rush-Henrietta          6- 5       1     4    -     -3.43
   416 A Jamesville-DeWitt      16- 7       9    11          n/a  
   421 H Lancaster, NY          15- 3      12    -1          n/a  
   428 A Penfield               14-16      -2    -2           0.60
   430 H Webster Thomas         12- 5       7     5           1.76
   503 N Webster Schroeder      15- 2      13     9           0.64
   506 A Canandaigua Academy     8- 7       1     0           1.75
   509 A Irondequoit             8- 9      -1    -2           1.31
   511 A Rush-Henrietta          6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.21
   512 N Pittsford               9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.70
   513 H Pittsford               7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.10
   517 H Penfield               10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.39
   518 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      5-16     -11     0    ---   -9.77
   524 H Webster Thomas         11- 8       3     5    -     -2.24
   526 N Penfield                7-10      -3    -1          -1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      5-16     -11     0    ---   -9.77
   406 H Webster Schroeder      12- 8       4     9    --    -5.97
   511 A Rush-Henrietta          6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.21
   404 N Webster Thomas          8- 7       1     4    -     -3.63
   413 H Rush-Henrietta          6- 5       1     4    -     -3.43
   524 H Webster Thomas         11- 8       3     5    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Lancaster, NY          15- 3      12    -1    +++        
   512 N Pittsford               9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.70
   513 H Pittsford               7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.10
   517 H Penfield               10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.20 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.00 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/