Region = CT    Class L          
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Amy Alvord            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2098618    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A New Canaan             CT    Class M (13- 8, 96.2)     4- 6   
 414 A Cheshire HS            CT    Class L (18- 4, 93.0)     8-11   
 416 H New Fairfield          CT    Class M (12- 7, 86.3)    10- 8  o
 418 A Norwalk                CT    Class L ( 6-11, 79.2)    20- 3   
 419 H Brien McMahon          CT    Class L ( 6-10, 80.4)    20- 7   
 421 A Brien McMahon          CT    Class L ( 6-10, 80.4)     9- 3   
 423 H Ridgefield             CT    Class L (11- 7, 91.0)    10- 9   
 427 A Danbury                CT    Class L (11- 8, 87.3)     7- 6 2o
 429 A St. Joseph, CT         CT    Class S ( 2-14, 74.8)    11- 5   
 503 A Staples                CT    Class L (17- 3, 95.6)     8-11   
 506 H Darien                 CT    Class M (15- 8, 98.1)     7-13   
 510 H Trumbull               CT    Class L ( 4-12, 75.7)    14- 1   
 512 A Fairfield Warde        CT    Class M ( 8- 9, 84.6)     7- 6   
 514 H Stamford               CT    Class L ( 7- 9, 81.8)    12- 3   
 517 H Wilton                 CT    Class M (18- 3, 99.9)     5-12   
 520 A Darien                 CT    Class M (15- 8, 98.1)     9-11   
 602 H New Milford            CT    Class L (10- 7, 84.2)    10- 5   
 606 A Newtown                CT    Class L (17- 3, 94.2)    14-13  o
 608 N Glastonbury            CT    Class L (15- 5, 95.9)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A New Canaan              4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.23
   414 A Cheshire HS             8-11      -3    -1          -1.02
   416 H New Fairfield          10- 8  o    2     5    -     -3.69
   418 A Norwalk                20- 3      17    11           0.00
   419 H Brien McMahon          20- 7      13    11           0.00
   421 A Brien McMahon           9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   423 H Ridgefield             10- 9       1     0           0.01
   427 A Danbury                 7- 6 2o    1     3    -     -2.73
   429 A St. Joseph, CT         11- 5       6    16    --    -4.00
   503 A Staples                 8-11      -3    -4           1.60
   506 H Darien                  7-13      -6    -6           0.12
   510 H Trumbull               14- 1      13    16           0.00
   512 A Fairfield Warde         7- 6       1     6    --    -5.37
   514 H Stamford               12- 3       9    10          -1.00
   517 H Wilton                  5-12      -7    -7           0.93
   520 A Darien                  9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.11
   602 H New Milford            10- 5       5     7    -     -2.82
   606 A Newtown                14-13  o    1    -3    ++     4.21
   608 N Glastonbury             4- 8      -4    -4           0.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Brien McMahon           9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   429 A St. Joseph, CT         11- 5       6    16    --    -4.00
   512 A Fairfield Warde         7- 6       1     6    --    -5.37
   416 H New Fairfield          10- 8  o    2     5    -     -3.69
   427 A Danbury                 7- 6 2o    1     3    -     -2.73
   602 H New Milford            10- 5       5     7    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Darien                  9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.11
   606 A Newtown                14-13  o    1    -3    ++     4.21
   407 A New Canaan              4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.48 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.25 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/