Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Mustangs             Coach  =   Brent Ritz            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.0305176    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Loch Raven             MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 7, 82.9)     8- 3   
 329 H Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (15- 3, 97.2)     7-15   
 404 A Perry Hall             MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 6, 87.4)    11- 7   
 407 H North Harford          MD    3A-2A   ( 9- 7, 88.7)    14-10   
 412 A Bel Air                MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 7, 82.6)    11- 9   
 414 A Harford Tech           MD    2A-1A   ( 1- 8, 66.3)    20- 0   
 418 A Fallston               MD    3A-2A   (15- 3, 94.1)    10-12   
 421 N Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   (10- 6, 91.2)    10-11   
 423 N Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 8, 83.7)    18-12   
 425 A Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   ( 8-10, 82.2)    19- 8   
 428 A Aberdeen               MD    4A-3A   ( 2-11, 67.2)    21- 2   
 504 N Hereford               MD    3A-2A   ( 4- 8, 85.6)    11-10   
 514 H Kenwood                MD    4A-3A   ( 2- 5, 71.1)    17- 3   
 516 N Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 8, 83.7)    12-11   
 518 N Dulaney                MD    4A-3A   (14- 3, 94.3)    11- 9   
 520 N Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (16- 1, 98.2)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Loch Raven              8- 3       5     8    -     -3.62
   329 H Century, MD             7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.37
   404 A Perry Hall             11- 7       4     4          -0.14
   407 H North Harford          14-10       4     3           0.15
   412 A Bel Air                11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.94
   414 A Harford Tech           20- 0      20    25           0.00
   418 A Fallston               10-12      -2    -2           0.59
   421 N Liberty, MD            10-11      -1     0          -1.85
   423 N Catonsville            18-12       6     8    -     -2.38
   425 A Patterson Mill         19- 8      11     9           0.63
   428 A Aberdeen               21- 2      19    24           0.00
   504 N Hereford               11-10       1     6    --    -5.45
   514 H Kenwood                17- 3      14    21           0.00
   516 N Catonsville            12-11       1     8    ---   -7.38
   518 N Dulaney                11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.24
   520 N Westminster, MD        10-14      -4    -6    +      2.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Bel Air                11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.94
   516 N Catonsville            12-11       1     8    ---   -7.38
   504 N Hereford               11-10       1     6    --    -5.45
   325 A Loch Raven              8- 3       5     8    -     -3.62
   329 H Century, MD             7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.37
   423 N Catonsville            18-12       6     8    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 N Dulaney                11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.24
   520 N Westminster, MD        10-14      -4    -6    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.05 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.69 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/